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In reply to the discussion: Russia clarifies Ukraine stance as Sergei Lavrov meets John Kerry in Paris. [View all]TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)to fight in Ukraine. I also don't see Russia trying to take over the entire country, either--that would be an extremely unwieldy proposition that would bankrupt them. If Russia did, we'd almost certainly arm and provide support to Ukraine, however--just to make it that much harder on Russia. I think the most likely way this will play out is Putin trying to destabilize Ukraine as much as possible, with troops at the border, covert agents, provocateurs, and economic punishment, in order to win new autonomous regions (at least industrial/valuable ones) that will become part of Russia--OR, in the event he doesn't get that, then he wants Ukraine to fail in its bid to become a West-friendly, economically viable neighbor. That would set a bad precedent for other former Soviet neighbors--and they might decide to start protesting, too.