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pampango

(24,692 posts)
20. "Assad is many things, but he's not stupid." He certainly is not. Leaving ISIS alone
Wed Sep 10, 2014, 12:25 PM
Sep 2014

was a brilliant strategy.

The tactic of letting rebel groups fight each other as much as possible makes, as you say, "a sound battle plan". And the idea of leaving one rebel group alone so that it has a relative advantage over the other groups makes some tactical sense as well.

My question is: How/why did he choose ISIS as the rebel group that would be the beneficiary of the decision not attack militarily? It could just as easily been one of the other rebel groups since they have been fighting with ISIS, just as ISIS has been fighting with them. If he had chosen Syrian rebels to ally with, he could have portrayed it as a patriotic "Syrians vs foreign terrorists" campaign, and then gotten back to fighting each other after ISIS was defeated.

By allowing the radicals to slaughter the moderates, he's creating a situation where the world has to choose between an Assad-led Syria, and a radicalized, terrorism exporting Syria. And he gets to create that situation without firing a shot.

All true. Great points.

As you said "he's not stupid." Far from it.

AND Assad has been trying to say all along that his opponents are all "foreign terrorists." ISIS was not in Syria when this started but they are now and they certainly fills the bill. Leaving ISIS alone helped make what he has been saying since 2011 actually come true.

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Where these the "moderates"? Cayenne Sep 2014 #1
The way I understand it, they recently "distanced" themselves from al Nusra. bemildred Sep 2014 #2
Our "partners" got blowed up Cayenne Sep 2014 #6
"Why are we madder at Assad than at ISIS?" bemildred Sep 2014 #13
Perhaps they unfriended al Nusra on Facebook daleo Sep 2014 #26
Kind of a Darwin award moment for the group, then Scootaloo Sep 2014 #3
Bound to be a setback. bemildred Sep 2014 #4
So many people must be shaking their heads at the stupidity. n/t JimDandy Sep 2014 #14
One "Aw Shit!" moment like that can wipe out a dozen or so attaboys Kaleva Sep 2014 #24
I find that version hard to credit daleo Sep 2014 #27
barrel bomb, daisy-cutter glide bomb ... quadrature Sep 2014 #5
I know this appears to be an accident but... indivisibleman Sep 2014 #7
so maybe they were assassinated and maybe they blew themselves up? azurnoir Sep 2014 #8
A day later we still don't know. bemildred Sep 2014 #17
At the moment the US wants Assad's cooperation, his greatest opponents go sky high . . . Journeyman Sep 2014 #9
I don't think the US wants Assad's cooperation. But if he would attack ISIS once in a while, pampango Sep 2014 #11
You keep saying this jamzrockz Sep 2014 #12
Assad military did not attack ISIS before August when it threatened then captured the Syrian pampango Sep 2014 #15
From a strategic standpoint, it's a sound battle plan. Xithras Sep 2014 #18
+1. We would find it clever if we were doing it. Divide and rule. nt bemildred Sep 2014 #19
"Assad is many things, but he's not stupid." He certainly is not. Leaving ISIS alone pampango Sep 2014 #20
Simple. He DIDN'T choose Scootaloo Sep 2014 #25
Kind of convenient PeoViejo Sep 2014 #10
Assad is here to stay - we ought to get over it and live with it. n/t cosmicone Sep 2014 #16
I fear that our pending 'isis' strikes in Syria will just be a smokescreen to Purveyor Sep 2014 #21
Syrian Rebel Group Names New Leaders After Blast Purveyor Sep 2014 #22
Seems like a short career path. bemildred Sep 2014 #23
We could try to be the Leviathan daleo Sep 2014 #28
Yup, we could end up being Gulliver in Lilliput Art_from_Ark Sep 2014 #29
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