BTRTN: Can The Dems Take The House in November? An Updated, Analytic Look [View all]

[tgards79]

A detailed, in-depth look at the Dem's prospects:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/06/btrtn-can-dems-take-house-in-november.html

"The headline: the outlook for the Democrats taking control of the House in the 2018 midterms remains strong, but hardly certain. We still have many primaries to go, five more months of unexpected national and international events, the ongoing Trump madness, and, of course, 435 head-to-head campaigns. But at this point, the Democrats are in an enviable position.

Our track record in predicting the House is quite strong. The BTRTN record speaks for itself – we have been exceptionally close in each of the last four elections {CHART}.

Our predictions are driven largely by our proprietary BTRTN House Prediction Regression Model, which uses relevant predictive data since 1970. More on that later.

But to get to the answer (and we will return with a full explanation), this BTRTN snapshot indicates that if Election Day were today, the Democrats would..."