Ron DeSantis May Have Already Delivered the House to Republicans in 2022

[moose65]

5. I'm unsure about this

Of course, Republicans are assholes who will try anything, but even they can't get around the fact that most population growth happened in urban areas, and there just might not be enough rural territory much longer to dilute the strength of cities. I have no doubt that they will try to gerrymander the best they can, but could they really find 5 extra districts in Florida alone? That's a tall order.

In New York, California, and Illinois, the population growth happened in cities, so it's likely that some less-urban Republican seats will fall. West Virginia will definitely lose a Republican seat, since all of their current ones are Republican. We may pick up new Dem seats in Colorado and Oregon. Here in NC, the Republicans have outlined how they plan to do the re-districting. Our growth also happened in urban areas, and even though I don't trust Republicans at all, I am cautiously optimistic.

Plus, some of those seats that Trump helped carry may be competitive again without him on the ballot. We shall see!