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In reply to the discussion: Pic Of The Moment: LOL GOP: Is This The Best You Can Do? [View all]Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Don't be overconfident about Hillary's inevitablity
This is a poll of 1003 people.
Only 843 are "registered voters"
The partisan divisions break down to:
30% Democrats = approx 300 people
24% Republican = approx 240 people
37% "independent" = approx 370 people
BTW, This is only 91%!
Here's Hillary's " DOUBLE DIGIT" lead among 843 REGISTERED VOTERS:
Hillary 54% = 455 votes
Rand Paul 41% = 345 votes
Jeb Bush 41% = 345 votes
Mitt Romney 40% = 337 votes
Chris Cristy 40% = 337 votes
That is ONLY 110 votes out of 843 total!
Why anyone would be excited about 110 votes is puzzling?
Once you include the Sampling Error the difference is possibly less.
This "poll" is hardly reason to celebrate.
In fact it can lull Democrats into a FALSE SENSE of INEVITABILITY.
This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Jan. 12-15, 2015, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including 843 registered voters. Results have margins of sampling error of 3.5 and 4 points for the general population and registered voters, respectively, including design effect. Partisan divisions are 30-24-37 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents among the general population, 33-26-33 percent among registered voters
http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1166a52016Election.pdf
Hey Democrats is the the best WE can do?