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In reply to the discussion: Bernie Sanders will still be the Democratic Nominee [View all]Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)"Hillary is way ahead in...polls." No, she isn't. And she is most especially not ahead in national polls that gage favorable image and trustworthiness. It is Sanders who is way ahead in those polls--way ahead of everybody, not just Clinton, whose favorability and trustworthiness are shockingly low (almost as bad as Trump's). She is also not ahead in national matchups. Sanders beats Trump by twice the margin that Clinton does, and Clinton actually loses to Cruz and Kasich, if I recall correctly. (Last poll I saw, she was losing to two Republicans, and I'm pretty sure that's who they were.)
Also, Sanders just closed the gap in matchups with Clinton They are now tied nationally. And Clinton does dismally among independents, while Sanders soars with independents.
You say she is ahead in the popular vote. But the popular vote in the Democratic primary (especially in closed primaries like NY) is not nearly as important as polls that include independents, who make up 40% of the electorate. Weaver is correct about this. The independent vote in the GE is a huge Clinton vulnerability. Clinton will also draw Republicans out of the woodwork to vote against her. Sanders has no such negatives.
You say she is ahead in contributions. But no one--literally no one in modern history--has done what Sanders has done, financing a national presidential campaign on small donations. This is unprecedented and will greatly please independent voters in particular, and the poor majority in general. No fatcat money! Unheard of!
You say she's ahead on endorsements from unions, but you fail to mention that many of those endorsements are by union leaders who have not consulted their membership. And endorsements from "political leaders" may well be a liability in the GE. Most Americans perceive that our "political leaders" have presided over the disappearance of their once fairly prosperous, middle class status. It is not likely to be a good year for establishment leaders.
You say "there is no chance for Bernie to win the primary." Well, that is not true so long as Clinton hasn't won it yet, and there are still plenty of delegates out there in the upcoming state primaries. Sanders if fact can win it. And he can also prevent Clinton from winning it, so that the issue goes to the convention.
You say, "the focus is on stupid stuff and not on policy." Really, come on! There has never been a more issue-oriented candidate than Sanders. And I'm not sure what you are calling "stupid stuff" but if you mean massive voter disenfranchisement, that is not "stupid." That is the bottom line of democracy.
I think you're just frustrated with all of the above. You believe in Clinton and don't understand why the majority of people polled don't believe in her--don't trust her, don't like her. This is the problem, as I see it. Clinton's got an constituency within the Democratic Party and nowhere else. And Sanders has even closed the gap within the Democratic Party, because there are many Democrats who are mightily unhappy with establishment politics. Most independents and most Republicans despise her--for whatever reasons, legit or not legit--and won't vote for her. Sanders, on the other hand, clearly has a much broader constituency, is much more liked and trusted, and will draw from all parts of the electorate.
That's why he's staying in.