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Cicada

(4,533 posts)
5. Look at the betting markets. Getting tighter.
Wed Aug 26, 2020, 05:26 PM
Aug 2020

The collective wisdom of the crowd is smarter than I am.

Some think the odds at bookies predicts better than polls, but there is limited data on that.

I have several times been really surprised after polls close.

If I had to bet I would probably rely on Nate Silver.

But don’t bet on it.

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