Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

mvymvy

(309 posts)
23. Small State Realities
Mon Oct 21, 2013, 04:10 PM
Oct 2013

The indefensible reality is that more than 99% of campaign attention was showered on voters in just ten states in 2012- and that in today's political climate, the swing states have become increasingly fewer and fixed.

With National Popular Vote, when every vote counts equally, successful candidates will find a middle ground of policies appealing to the wide mainstream of America. Instead of playing mostly to local concerns in Ohio and Florida, candidates finally would have to form broader platforms for broad national support. Elections wouldn't be about winning a handful of battleground states.

Now political clout comes from being among the handful of battleground states. 80% of states and voters are ignored by presidential campaigns.

In 2008, of the 25 smallest states (with a total of 155 electoral votes), 18 received no attention at all from presidential campaigns after the conventions. Of the seven smallest states with any post-convention visits, Only 4 of the smallest states - NH (12 events), NM (8), NV (12), and IA (7) - got the outsized attention of 39 of the 43 total events in the 25 smallest states. In contrast, Ohio (with only 20 electoral votes) was lavishly wooed with 62 of the total 300 post-convention campaign events in the whole country.

In the 25 smallest states in 2008, the Democratic and Republican popular vote was almost tied (9.9 million versus 9.8 million), as was the electoral vote (57 versus 58).

In 2012, 24 of the nation's 27 smallest states received no attention at all from presidential campaigns after the conventions.- including not a single dollar in presidential campaign ad money after Mitt Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee on April 11. They were ignored despite their supposed numerical advantage in the Electoral College. In fact, the 8.6 million eligible voters in Ohio received more campaign ads and campaign visits from the major party campaigns than the 42 million eligible voters in those 27 smallest states combined.

Now with state-by-state winner-take-all laws (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but since enacted by 48 states), presidential elections ignore 12 of the 13 lowest population states (3-4 electoral votes), that are non-competitive in presidential elections. 6 regularly vote Republican (AK, ID, MT, WY, ND, and SD), and 6 regularly vote Democratic (RI, DE, HI, VT, ME, and DC) in presidential elections. Voters in states that are reliably red or blue don't matter. Candidates ignore those states and the issues they care about most.

Support for a national popular vote is strong in every smallest state surveyed in recent polls among Republicans, Democrats, and Independent voters, as well as every demographic group. Support in smaller states (3 to 5 electoral votes): AK -70%, DC -76%, DE --75%, ID -77%, ME - 77%, MT- 72%, NE - 74%, NH--69%, NE - 72%, NM - 76%, RI - 74%, SD- 71%, UT- 70%, VT - 75%, WV- 81%, and WY- 69%.

Among the 13 lowest population states, the National Popular Vote bill has passed in nine state legislative chambers, and been enacted by 4 jurisdictions.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Fl's districts are heavily gerrymandered... HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #1
Only way they could win is if votes for the change went under that rule. lark Oct 2013 #15
Downthread I made a correction. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #17
fuckers, why am I not surprised gopiscrap Oct 2013 #2
I'm not surprised. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #3
that was my point, neither am I gopiscrap Oct 2013 #4
Why do you think it might be harder than they think gopiscrap Oct 2013 #5
If its written into the state constitution (which I don't know if it is)... HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #7
thanks gopiscrap Oct 2013 #8
Actually, this could bite them two ways. lark Oct 2013 #16
Two years running in PA Cosmocat Oct 2013 #33
What does anybody expect? Turbineguy Oct 2013 #6
BUT IT CAN'T BE THEIR MESSAGE! pansypoo53219 Oct 2013 #9
Americans Support a National Popular Vote mvymvy Oct 2013 #10
They are dumb. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #18
Small State Realities mvymvy Oct 2013 #23
Big City Realities mvymvy Oct 2013 #24
The two coasts zipplewrath Oct 2013 #34
10 States Received 99% of Campaign Attention in 2012 mvymvy Oct 2013 #35
A different 10 zipplewrath Oct 2013 #38
When and where every vote is equal, a campaign must be run everywhere mvymvy Oct 2013 #39
78% of Florida Voters Support a National Popular Vote mvymvy Oct 2013 #11
The National Popular Vote Bill - 50.4% toward going into effect mvymvy Oct 2013 #12
Well can't you see that's the last act of desperate men? bluesbassman Oct 2013 #13
Now that the Repuke-run states are so heavily gerrymandered, they AllyCat Oct 2013 #14
Changing demographics are against them... HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #19
What are the chances that this might actually pass? LongTomH Oct 2013 #20
Republicans have a super-majority in House and Senate. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #28
They do not have super majorities anymore. We have picked up 6 House and 2 Senate Orlandodem Oct 2013 #29
tnx. I thought they still did. nt HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #30
Yet another attempt DonCoquixote Oct 2013 #21
They want to do that, then let's do it in all 50 states. tanyev Oct 2013 #22
I did some numbers jmowreader Oct 2013 #25
Candidate with most votes should win mvymvy Oct 2013 #36
Another example of.... Aviation Pro Oct 2013 #26
What would be BETTER DissidentVoice Oct 2013 #27
National Popular Vote Bill - 50.4% of the way to go into effect mvymvy Oct 2013 #37
Of course, Republicans will do all they can to stop it DissidentVoice Oct 2013 #40
Electoral College Would Still Exist with National Popular Vote Bill mvymvy Oct 2013 #41
Are they going to allow that for Texas? nt Deep13 Oct 2013 #31
GOP: We'll "win," one way or another. blkmusclmachine Oct 2013 #32
Latest Discussions»Region Forums»Florida»Bill would split up Flori...»Reply #23