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mvymvy

(309 posts)
35. 10 States Received 99% of Campaign Attention in 2012
Tue Oct 22, 2013, 01:09 PM
Oct 2013

Again, The indefensible reality is that more than 99% of campaign attention was showered on voters in just ten states in 2012- and that in today's political climate, the swing states have become increasingly fewer and fixed.

Even in the recent handful of states where a presidential vote matters to the candidates, the value of a vote is different.

Where you live should not determine how much, if at all, your vote matters.

The current state-by-state winner-take-all method of awarding electoral votes (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but since enacted by 48 states), ensures that the candidates, after the conventions, will not reach out to about 80% of the states and their voters. Candidates have no reason to poll, visit, advertise, organize, campaign, or care about the voter concerns in the dozens of states where they are safely ahead or hopelessly behind.

Presidential candidates concentrate their attention on only a handful of closely divided "battleground" states and their voters. There is no incentive for them to bother to care about the majority of states where they are hopelessly behind or safely ahead to win. 10 of the original 13 states are ignored now. Four out of five Americans were ignored in the 2012 presidential election. After being nominated, Obama visited just eight closely divided battleground states, and Romney visited only 10. These 10 states accounted for 98% of the $940 million spent on campaign advertising. They decided the election. None of the 10 most rural states mattered, as usual. About 80% of the country was ignored --including 19 of the 22 lowest population and medium-small states, and 17 medium and big states like CA, GA, NY, and TX. It was more obscene than the 2008 campaign, when candidates concentrated over 2/3rds of their campaign events and ad money in just 6 states, and 98% in just 15 states. Over half (57%) of the events were in just 4 states (OH, FL, PA, and VA). In 2004, candidates concentrated over 2/3rds of their money and campaign visits in 5 states; over 80% in 9 states; and over 99% of their money in 16 states.

80% of the states and people have been merely spectators to presidential elections. They have no influence. That's more than 85 million voters, 200 million Americans, ignored. When and where voters are ignored, then so are the issues they care about most.

The number and population of battleground states is shrinking.

Policies important to the citizens of non-battleground states are not as highly prioritized as policies important to ‘battleground’ states when it comes to governing.

Again, When and where every vote is equal, like in statewide elections and under national popular vote, a campaign must be run everywhere.

A nationwide presidential campaign, with every vote equal, would be run the way presidential candidates campaign to win the electoral votes of closely divided battleground states, such as Ohio and Florida, under the state-by-state winner-take-all methods. The big cities in those battleground states do not receive all the attention, much less control the outcome. Cleveland and Miami do not receive all the attention or control the outcome in Ohio and Florida.

The itineraries of presidential candidates in battleground states (and their allocation of other campaign resources in battleground states) reflect the political reality that every gubernatorial or senatorial candidate knows. When and where every vote is equal, a campaign must be run everywhere.

With National Popular Vote, when every vote is equal, everywhere, it makes sense for presidential candidates to try and elevate their votes everywhere -- where they are and aren't so well liked. But, under the state-by-state winner-take-all laws, it makes no sense for a Democrat to try and do that in Vermont or Wyoming or New York or Texas, or for a Republican to try it in Wyoming or Vermont or New York or Texas.

Candidates would need to care about voters across the nation, not just undecided voters in the current handful of swing states.

The main media at the moment, TV, costs much more per impression in big cities than in smaller towns and rural area. Candidates get more bang for the buck in smaller towns and rural areas.

Recommendations

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Fl's districts are heavily gerrymandered... HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #1
Only way they could win is if votes for the change went under that rule. lark Oct 2013 #15
Downthread I made a correction. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #17
fuckers, why am I not surprised gopiscrap Oct 2013 #2
I'm not surprised. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #3
that was my point, neither am I gopiscrap Oct 2013 #4
Why do you think it might be harder than they think gopiscrap Oct 2013 #5
If its written into the state constitution (which I don't know if it is)... HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #7
thanks gopiscrap Oct 2013 #8
Actually, this could bite them two ways. lark Oct 2013 #16
Two years running in PA Cosmocat Oct 2013 #33
What does anybody expect? Turbineguy Oct 2013 #6
BUT IT CAN'T BE THEIR MESSAGE! pansypoo53219 Oct 2013 #9
Americans Support a National Popular Vote mvymvy Oct 2013 #10
They are dumb. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #18
Small State Realities mvymvy Oct 2013 #23
Big City Realities mvymvy Oct 2013 #24
The two coasts zipplewrath Oct 2013 #34
10 States Received 99% of Campaign Attention in 2012 mvymvy Oct 2013 #35
A different 10 zipplewrath Oct 2013 #38
When and where every vote is equal, a campaign must be run everywhere mvymvy Oct 2013 #39
78% of Florida Voters Support a National Popular Vote mvymvy Oct 2013 #11
The National Popular Vote Bill - 50.4% toward going into effect mvymvy Oct 2013 #12
Well can't you see that's the last act of desperate men? bluesbassman Oct 2013 #13
Now that the Repuke-run states are so heavily gerrymandered, they AllyCat Oct 2013 #14
Changing demographics are against them... HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #19
What are the chances that this might actually pass? LongTomH Oct 2013 #20
Republicans have a super-majority in House and Senate. HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #28
They do not have super majorities anymore. We have picked up 6 House and 2 Senate Orlandodem Oct 2013 #29
tnx. I thought they still did. nt HooptieWagon Oct 2013 #30
Yet another attempt DonCoquixote Oct 2013 #21
They want to do that, then let's do it in all 50 states. tanyev Oct 2013 #22
I did some numbers jmowreader Oct 2013 #25
Candidate with most votes should win mvymvy Oct 2013 #36
Another example of.... Aviation Pro Oct 2013 #26
What would be BETTER DissidentVoice Oct 2013 #27
National Popular Vote Bill - 50.4% of the way to go into effect mvymvy Oct 2013 #37
Of course, Republicans will do all they can to stop it DissidentVoice Oct 2013 #40
Electoral College Would Still Exist with National Popular Vote Bill mvymvy Oct 2013 #41
Are they going to allow that for Texas? nt Deep13 Oct 2013 #31
GOP: We'll "win," one way or another. blkmusclmachine Oct 2013 #32
Latest Discussions»Region Forums»Florida»Bill would split up Flori...»Reply #35