Florida
In reply to the discussion: Bill would split up Florida's electoral votes [View all]zipplewrath
(16,698 posts)It is true that the "battle ground" states shrank sharply as of late. It isn't clear that trend will be sustained. However, going to a purely popular vote will predominately just generate a "different 10".
New York
Massechusettes
Pennsylvania
New Jersey
California
Viginia
Delaware
Maryland
Really beyond that it will depend a bit on whether certain population centers need campaigning, or are considered "solidly" in some camp or another. Miami, Chicago, Atlanta,....
Especially when one considers that ads run in some of the New England and East Coast states can cover multiple markets, going to a popular vote system will probably make the race MORE local, not less. There will be exceptions, and especially as Texas and Florida become more "blue" you may see their inclusion in races. New Orleans is another market that could see some activity in certain races. But many of the smaller markets/regions are likely to be treated like Alaska.