Unless things change big style Michelle will be 1st minister. The unionist population is sick to the back teeth of them. The young unionist community is much more progressive than previous generations and they are moving to alliance or uup (who under Doug Beattie is moving the party in a more progressive direction). The loyalist community feel betrayed by the wet border and the compliance with the protocol and unless that is ripped up (which it won't be) they will not be coming out to vote - rather they will be coming out to riot. 3 way split away from the DUP and if Michelle is not 1st Minister I will eat my hat. And with the growing popularity of Sinn Fein in the republic... 10 years away from a border poll IMO. Not sure the republic would want to take us though! Intergenerational trauma has helped us develop somewhat unique national characteristics irrespective of green or orange. We would be quite the handful 
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