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mwooldri

(10,825 posts)

18. just a personal feeling.

Reply to craigmatic (Reply #10)

Thu May 7, 2015, 07:11 AM

May 2015

As for polls, since 1992 I have taken them with a big pinch of salt. Except for Lord Ashcroft's polls, constituency polling is rare. If Labour runs a decent get-out-the-vote campaign in Scotland, I feel they won't lose as many seats in Scotland as the polls suggest. The LibDems generally have good get-out-the-vote campaigns in seats they feel they have a chance in winning, so they may not lose as many seats that they have been predicted to lose. If the polls are right, then Nick Clegg will lose his seat. I don't think he will.... but his majority will be slashed.

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Final day before election. Anybody got predictions? [View all] craigmatic May 2015 OP

No matter who wins, it will not be a stable government, and I suspect they will need to form a new still_one May 2015 #1

My prediction is that we won't know for ages... LeftishBrit May 2015 #2

same here... Ironing Man May 2015 #3

If the tories win the total vote count but labour can get more seats through a coalition, who gets craigmatic May 2015 #4

Labour. Ironing Man May 2015 #5

Answer to: If the tories win the total vote count but labour can get more seats through a coalition, doxyluv13 May 2015 #6

Only seats in Parliament count in a parliamentary system. Ghost Dog May 2015 #12

SNP will do well in Scotland but maybe not THAT well. mwooldri May 2015 #7

Is that just a personal theory or do you have polls that show that? craigmatic May 2015 #10

just a personal feeling. mwooldri May 2015 #18

I got email from 38 Degrees telling me Winchester was 'too close to call' - 48% Tory to 32% Lib Dems muriel_volestrangler May 2015 #8

Labour largest party, forms a minority government Anarcho-Socialist May 2015 #9

I agree that there won't be a straightforward coronation of Boris LeftishBrit May 2015 #14

One outcome will eventually (soon) be an independent Scotland. Ghost Dog May 2015 #11

We've already had a referendum on electoral reform in 2011 T_i_B May 2015 #16

Well, perhaps I should say a 'high degree of independence' for Scotland Ghost Dog May 2015 #21

I don't expect to see an independent Scotland in next 10 years Anarcho-Socialist May 2015 #19

Trouble is... T_i_B May 2015 #20

Labour, by a somewhat wider margin than expected. forest444 May 2015 #13

musings... Ironing Man May 2015 #15

Labour would have plenty of representation in England, just not in the non-London south muriel_volestrangler May 2015 #17