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Response to cui bono (Reply #9)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 10:09 AM

16. Exit polls have plenty of reasons of their own for being inaccurate.

It's not as easy as you think to get a good sample. First, they have guess what precincts to sample based on past elections (which aren't always that predictive). Then they have to grab every 4th or 5th person (or whatever) who comes past their station -- even though people often come out in clumps and most of those people don't want to stop and talk (and don't have to). Young people are more likely to cooperate than older people. And people who voted absentee don't walk past at all.

In New York's case, up to 20% in the Dem primary identified themselves as independent. But it was a closed primary -- no one should have been an independent. How could this happen? The people who filed the emergency lawsuit to open the primary were urging independents to vote by asking for a provisional ballot. Those votes can get counted by exit pollers, but wouldn't have been included in that night's results, since the judge did NOT rule to open the primary.

I agree that there should be an investigation into the problems we know occurred. But I haven't seen any evidence so far that the occurred in a way that would benefit Hillary more than Bernie.

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passy Apr 2016 OP
Kalidurga Apr 2016 #1
passy Apr 2016 #4
Kalidurga Apr 2016 #5
pnwmom Apr 2016 #6
cui bono Apr 2016 #9
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pnwmom Apr 2016 #16
passy Apr 2016 #17
pnwmom Apr 2016 #19
passy Apr 2016 #11
MFM008 Apr 2016 #2
passy Apr 2016 #3
pnwmom Apr 2016 #7
passy Apr 2016 #12
eomer Apr 2016 #10
passy Apr 2016 #13
eomer Apr 2016 #14
Scootaloo Apr 2016 #20
Scuba Apr 2016 #8
passy Apr 2016 #15
bkkyosemite Apr 2016 #18
RoccoR5955 Apr 2016 #21
autorank May 2016 #22
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