Full title: U.S. 2016 Unadjusted Exit Poll Discrepancies Fit Chronic Republican Vote-Count Rigging, not Random Statistical, Patterns
An early version of this paper was posted on DU but I can't find it. This is the latest version that is now also posted on OpEdNews: http://www.opednews.com/articles/U-S-2016-Unadjusted-Exit-by-Ron-Baiman-2016-Elections_Exit-Polls-161208-153.html
Abstract: U.S. 2016 general election unadjusted exit poll (UEP) analysis finds that it is nearly impossible to think of a plausible statistical, or innocent exit poll error, rationale for the one-sided red shift (and anti-Sanders shift) UEP discrepancy patterns, with the most highly significant discrepancies occurring in key battle ground and deep-red states, in recent U.S. elections. These repeated patterns of exit poll discrepancies with official vote counts are in practice, statistically impossible, but highly politically consistent. Given what we know about how U.S. elections are conducted, a reasonable conclusion is that these in all likelihood reflect differences in how votes are counted, not counted, or miscounted by partisan and largely unmonitored and unregulated election officials. As Greg Palast has pointed out, this does not even have to include broad based hacking or rigged machine miscounting (though incidents of this have been found in states with large exit poll discrepancies in earlier elections) but simply the process of discarding and not counting numerous spoiled, provisional, early, mail-in, and absentee ballots, based on illegal partisan voter registration stripping and partisan and repressive local election vote counting rules and procedures
I was hoping to reply to some questions on the earlier paper but can't find the thread! Thank you, Ron Baiman