The Odds Shift Towards Obama [View all]
Probably old news by now, but I STILL love this! 
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/02/15/the_odds_shift_towards_obama.html
February 15, 2012
The Odds Shift Towards Obama
Nate Silver applies his statistical model for the presidential race -- which includes presidential approval, economic growth, and opponent's ideological orientation -- and finds that President Obama has improved his chances of reelection, from a "slight underdog" in November to now favored to win the popular vote against Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum.
"In recent weeks, Obama has taken a more populist approach (just read the transcript of his State of the Union address). The strategy has induced more howls than usual from Republicans about 'class warfare,' but the White House has clearly studied the numbers. In the Republican primaries, Romney has had trouble winning the loyalty of working-class voters, especially in the Midwest."
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