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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
18. I don't watch MSNBC or FOX News - I don't like my news...
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 10:29 AM
Apr 2016

....chewed up with ideological prejudices and regenerated.

That said, let's look at NY. Here is the latest poll of NY - Clinton vs Trump:

New York: Trump vs. Clinton Emerson Clinton 55, Trump 36 Clinton +19

The Democratic primary vote in NY was much larger than the Republican vote and Hillary had many more votes than Donald Trump . So if it is just Democrats verses Republican voters, Hillary wins unless a large percentage of the Sanders voters defect to the Greens or doesn't vote. However, also keep in mind that some percentage of the 40% who did not vote for Trump will not vote for him in the GE and may even vote for Hillary.

So what is is at stake is the "3 Million" independent voters in NY. If Sanders expected a big boost if they could vote, then a good number of them have to be voters who are too liberal to be Democrats. Those should be Democratic voters unless they go Green or sit on their hands. Then there will be moderates who reliably vote for Democrats and those who reliably vote Republican, leaving those in the middle who vary their vote depending who the two candidates are. Normally NY as a state is reliably Democratic, but the GE in NY will depend on how the independent vote this time around.

Can anyone in NY comment on the nature of the independents in NY?
Based on the poll results above it appears that they usually vote Democratic and it this case don't like Trump.

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Cokie Roberts just said on MSNBC [View all] Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 OP
Cokie Roberts has been a Repub in sheep's clothing COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #1
She looked disgusted Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #5
Yep. Knew that since 2000 when she was trying hard to shill for W without showing it too much. BlueCaliDem Apr 2016 #13
Absolutely spot on. Kokie had seemed to have been benched for a long time until COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #19
Except I think her point is a good one. We would be fools if we think this is going to be easy. Squinch Apr 2016 #26
You're right. He's already started pivoting to the center by coming out against the . . . brush Apr 2016 #29
Ya know... FarPoint Apr 2016 #2
I hope there aren't enough idiots out there to do that Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #7
I'm being most caution this Election... FarPoint Apr 2016 #9
The truth will come out when HRC and Trump debate. Fla Dem Apr 2016 #15
He would suffer the Rick Lazio effect. LisaM Apr 2016 #25
Cookie may have a good point 72DejaVu Apr 2016 #3
Cokie DOES have a point. MarianJack Apr 2016 #14
If cokie really thinks that she's a nitwit.. if she's just propagandizing then shame on her and . Cha Apr 2016 #4
Agreed Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #6
Cokie lost me long ago, whatever she BlueMTexpat Apr 2016 #16
Cokie Roberts... MarianJack Apr 2016 #8
Ugh Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #10
I've heard that from other quarters as well. They HAVE to Surya Gayatri Apr 2016 #11
I heard that, too sarae Apr 2016 #12
KOOKY Roberts is a bony-assed REPUBLICAN asswipe who is WRONG night and day! RBInMaine Apr 2016 #17
I don't watch MSNBC or FOX News - I don't like my news... CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #18
Agreed! Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #22
Do I at least get to pick the beer you will drink? CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #23
Sure Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #31
I'll give you a ride home providing it's the Good Fellows in Birmingham CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #33
Time to start calling her Kooky Roberts Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Apr 2016 #20
Well, now that Bernie has turned up D.O.A. they have to gin up another horse race right away!!! Walk away Apr 2016 #21
Exactly! NastyRiffraff Apr 2016 #24
I'll be interested to see how she handles him at different stages of the race. Walk away Apr 2016 #27
You know you're right. That's exactly what it is. brush Apr 2016 #30
Really? All polls I've seen of MA and NY show big Democratic leads book_worm Apr 2016 #28
Someone send this to Cokie, and Sarandon... fleabiscuit Apr 2016 #32
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