*HILLARY GROUP* Here's the one number that proves Bernie Sanders isn't a threat to Hillary Clinton [View all]

[yallerdawg]

Some more calm reassurance for our Hillary Group.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/heres-the-one-number-that-proves-bernie-sanders-isnt-a-threat-to-hillary-clinton/ar-AAcAhUp

But one question in a new CNN poll out Wednesday takes the air out of Sanders' surge, and shows why his momentum likely won't translate to electoral success.

According to CNN, only 2% of Democratic voters think Sanders has the best chance of winning the general election. That number has proven to be a red flag for any candidate.

Studies have long shown that most voters desire to cast their vote for a winning candidate, and they'll often vote for their second choice if they perceive the candidate to have a better chance of winning. As University of Maryland professor Eric Pacuit points out, many voters in 2000 who supported Green Party candidate Ralph Nader ended up voting for Democratic nominee Al Gore.

There are a couple of reasons for this. According to Duke researchers Daniel Kselman and Emerson Noiu, some voters cast their votes strategically, as some Nader supporters did for Gore. Other simply desire to jump on the bandwagon of the winning team.

Voting behavior aside, Sanders's recent gains in New Hampshire shouldn't be projected elsewhere.

CNN Poll