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Hillary Clinton
Showing Original Post only (View all)Nate Silver's latest prediction for Indiana (83 delegates) [View all]
At 538.com, 12:41 pm EDT:
Probability of winning the primary:
Hillary 89%
Bernie 11%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/indiana-democratic/
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That's not the important part! It's the percentages that drive the primaries on the Dem side.
Buzz Clik
Apr 2016
#12
But if you scroll down the same page as the likelihood prediction, you see distributions of
spooky3
Apr 2016
#15
I'm not sure Silver, who doesn't poll states himself, can do what you are asking.
SaschaHM
May 2016
#37
Honestly, I kept thinking IN might be a pickup for BS. Obviously, Nate disagrees.
Tarheel_Dem
Apr 2016
#5
Let's hope that's the case. But Jane says that BS is about to explode with momentum.
Tarheel_Dem
Apr 2016
#18
I'm not sure Sanders organized well before the deadline to register this month.
SaschaHM
Apr 2016
#23
Indiana should be roughly a 45 - 38 split for Clinton -- Net 7 delegates.
LiberalFighter
Apr 2016
#30
But the college vote in Bloomington and West Lafayette is going to put him over the top
bluestateguy
Apr 2016
#35