Sanders' supporters are being mislead over in their group. (More Bernie Math) [View all]

[LiberalFighter]

They think Sanders will win 61.25% of the votes. Now that is odd using that percent. But they are also saying based on the source used that Sanders will overtake Clinton. In addition, they do not provide any source to the polling.

Here is the math they are using based on 73% that Sanders got in Washington. Don't know why they are using Washington's 73% when they are saying California will win 61.25%.

California delegates: 546 (Actual Pledged: 475 -- Unpledged included: 548)
Sanders: 398 -- Clinton: 147. (Their split is based on both pledged and unpledged delegates - That is not how it works) The actual split would be Sanders: 347 -- Clinton: 128.

They show beginning delegates as Clinton: 1446 -- Sanders: 1202. When it should be Clinton: 1771 -- Sanders: 1499.

Using their beginning delegates vs actual beginning delegates
Clinton: 1446 +128 = 1574 * * * * (1771 + 128 = 1899)
Sandes: 1202 +347 = 1549 * * * * (1499 + 347 = 1846)

They are still short.


Using the 61% from the poll they say they have the split would be Sanders: 290 -- Clinton: 185.

Using actual beginning delegates there is a 167 delegate advantage.
1771 + 185 = 1956
1499 + 290 = 1789

DU Sanders Group

Bernie Sanders Projected To Win California With 61.25% Gaining 398 Delegates


I don't know what polling data they are using but the best I could find was RealClear Politics. FXO Nwes from mid April had the best poll for Sanders behind Clinton 48-46. Most recent poll from KABC/SurveyUSA that just ended two days ago has it Clinton 57-39. Rolling average is Clinton 51-41.5

Clinton should have about a 45 to nearly 90 delegate net win in California. Possibly about 73 if Clinton wins the state 59 - 41. That is based on the 57-39 polling.