Democrats encouraged by latest 2016 head-to-head poll

[Hortensis]

4. Great, but I'm dialing back my assumption just a tad that she must of course win

given this weird election season. Whether it turns out to be remarkable for a bunch of armchair rioters acting out their anger and then just turning away for a surge of a delayed change that began with Obama's election, something very different is happening. (A delay I'm assuming was created by Big Money, whose control over their little people seems to be slipping.)

The popularity of an obscure democratic socialist that confounded all observers is very much a symptom. As is the election of that liberal progressive mayor in Nashville who promised the voters everything southern conservatives are supposed to hate.

I'm reading Nate Silver and am quite happy with and reassured by his solid, data-based conclusions, but there's a lot of election season to come and it's clear the analysts do not really understand what's happening out there.