If Hillary wins Iowa, Bernie's Toast [View all]
Big Tent Democrat (aka Armando at Daily Kos and Twitter) thinks Bernie's momentum is gone, gone, gone unless he wins Iowa, which BTD does not think will happen. I agree. As many Hillary supporters point out, Bernie just doesn't have the momentum anywhere but New Hampshire. And New Hampshire ain't gonna get him the White House!
http://www.talkleft.com/story/2016/1/3/175621/7647/Election16/2016-the-State-of-Play
Clinton's lead in Iowa over Sanders is currently 52-37. Personally I think any Clinton win in Iowa, even by a point, effectively ends the race. One of the reasons is that the expectation is Sanders is going to win New Hampshire, With that expectation, Sanders won't have much of a chance to change the dynamics in the race. The next 2 contests after NH are South Carolina and Nevada, where PC will be the dominant voter groups. After that you move to Super Tuesday on March 1 and that will probably close all drama.
Sanders has raised an amazing amount of money (and so has Clinton over 112 million so far) so he'll be in it to the convention, but he'll have no chance for the nomination unless things change before Super Tuesday.
= new reply since forum marked as read