The most recent IA caucus forecast from FiveThirtyEight

[BlueMTexpat]

9. Iowa and NH both receive

unduly disproportionate attention, IMO, and always have. BOTH races are likely to be very close and Bernie's BEST chance to win is in NH.

But Iowa is where Dems actually get together face-to-face to vote for other Dems, so Hillary's chances there are likely somewhat better than the most recent polls show, mainly because beloved Dems in the state (e.g., former Senator Tom Harkin, former Governor Tom Vilsack, etc.) are campaigning for her and that counts a lot for Iowans.

New Hampshire may also pleasantly surprise Hillary supporters, especially if more Independents vote in the GOP primary rather than in the Dem primary. That's the Wild Card for that state's primaries and if that happens, Bernie might not win.

But nothing's over until the actual events. HRC, bless her, is taking nothing for granted and I think that is great.