Hillary Clinton

Tommy2Tone

(1,307 posts)

31. Bernie is winning the race for people who don't vote.

Sat Jan 16, 2016, 07:55 AM

Jan 2016

I see a lot of white noise but where is he getting traction? In two of the whitest of white states and from young people who don't vote.

The guy has been in the congress for 26 years and has done little to nothing and now some are seeing him as some sort of messiah who will get even the rethugs to follow him like the pied piper.

Bernie may win Iowa and New Hampshire but 11 days later there is Nevada and South Carolina and the key question is how will he do in a state that has a representative voter base? It's been 20 days but last poll I read in SC Hillary was up 40 points. If he wins Nevada or South Carolina we will talk.

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The most recent IA caucus forecast from FiveThirtyEight [View all] BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 OP

More from FiveThirtyEight in Iowa ... BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #1

graph for Nate Silver: jan 14 = 82% chance of Hillary winning Iowa riversedge Jan 2016 #4

That jibes with betting sites Treant Jan 2016 #5

I hope this comes true Coolest Ranger Jan 2016 #2

It's like the Twilight Zone BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #3

It is an alternate reality that is for sure. I am so glad that Hillary is strong and has a good team riversedge Jan 2016 #6

The crap that is being thrown at her is nothing new. BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #7

Love your poster. Here you deserve a treat.... riversedge Jan 2016 #14

Thanks, riversedge! Cookies are BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #17

Hillary wins Iowa and it's over for Bernie Tommy2Tone Jan 2016 #8

Iowa and NH both receive BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #9

Perception is sometimes everything. Tommy2Tone Jan 2016 #12

As a Hillary supporter, I have BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #18

We agree Tommy2Tone Jan 2016 #27

Exactly! BlueCaliDem Jan 2016 #29

Bernie is winning the race for people who don't vote. Tommy2Tone Jan 2016 #31

I am not convinced that he will win NH leftofcool Jan 2016 #15

Always a good caution, loc. :) BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #19

* Silent_Greene Jan 2016 #10

IMO, this is spot on. BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #11

Exactly. The difference between now and 2008 is that the party is not split between the two Metric System Jan 2016 #13

The other difference is Bernie shows no signs of rallying people of color vote Tommy2Tone Jan 2016 #16

Exactly. eom BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #20

That's gotten me curious, too. BlueCaliDem Jan 2016 #30

She's going to win the first states. Don't care what NH polling says FloridaBlues Jan 2016 #21

In my heart, I hope you're right. BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #22

A loss early will not be a disaster for her. It will make Bernie a more serious candidate Squinch Jan 2016 #28

I think March 1 SEC Primary will put all this to rest. yallerdawg Jan 2016 #23

Thanks for the good cheer, yallerdawg! BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #25

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #24

Great to hear that! BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #26