Hillary Clinton

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)

53. David Wasserman on 538

Mon Feb 1, 2016, 10:46 PM

Feb 2016

The Democratic race looks extremely close, with Clinton leading Sanders 51 percent to 48 percent. BUT, it’s going to be very difficult for Sanders to make up that deficit. There simply aren’t a lot of “Bernie blowout” zones. In very liberal, academic Iowa City (Johnson County), Bernie is leading by 15 percentage points, but that’s not as huge a lead as he might have expected there. And his leads elsewhere aren’t nearly as large. Plus, there’s still a good chunk of Clinton-friendly Polk (Des Moines) still out.

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Iowa Caucus thread # 1 Add what you want [View all] riversedge Feb 2016 OP

See the results come in here: riversedge Feb 2016 #1

K&R! stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #2

Cnn, CBSN and MSNBC workinclasszero Feb 2016 #3

i am a do not count the chicks till hatched but riversedge Feb 2016 #5

Me too! workinclasszero Feb 2016 #8

Me three!!! asuhornets Feb 2016 #22

Me 4! OhZone Feb 2016 #47

All sorts of ANECDOTAL reports on my text line � long lines, running out of voter registration mater riversedge Feb 2016 #4

Bad news Bernie workinclasszero Feb 2016 #6

well... riversedge Feb 2016 #9

uuuuu... riversedge Feb 2016 #7

Caucus!!! johnp3907 Feb 2016 #10

Nothing but good numbers for Hillary so far workinclasszero Feb 2016 #11

I keep hearing high turnout also riversedge Feb 2016 #13

Just head Steve Kornacki on MSNBC say it's around 44% for first-time caucus goers. BlueCaliDem Feb 2016 #17

43% of Repubs (and 41% of Dems) who are attending caucuses tonight are doing so for the first time e riversedge Feb 2016 #12

60% Clinton 35% Sanders riversedge Feb 2016 #14

tweets... riversedge Feb 2016 #15

CBS releasing this estimate. Looking fantastic for HRC. Crossing everything for this to be correct. riversedge Feb 2016 #16

Top news View all Link to headline article Entrance polls: Early edge to Trump, Clinton Blue-collar riversedge Feb 2016 #18

Crossing everything, ,,,,had think about that GusBob Feb 2016 #19

Kornacki says only 17% young voters 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #20

I heard that too but was not sure I heard correctly.... riversedge Feb 2016 #21

@FiveThirtyEight 17-to-29-year-olds on the Democratic side are going 91 percent to 8 percent for riversedge Feb 2016 #23

6 percent in, it�s Clinton 52.5 percent to Sanders 46.6 percent: riversedge Feb 2016 #25

Looks good for Hills... Treant Feb 2016 #24

10%: 52.8 Hillary, 46.6 Bernie, .6 O'Malley riversedge Feb 2016 #28

Ten percent of precincts. Treant Feb 2016 #30

Per CNN, with 9% reporting displacedtexan Feb 2016 #26

I am so happy to see her ahead. Youth didn't support only him and we old people vote! nolabear Feb 2016 #27

This is idpcaucuses.com for Democrats Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #29

a few results...... riversedge Feb 2016 #31

Clinton is leading in considerably more counties than Bernie Sanders: riversedge Feb 2016 #35

CNN just reported an 2008 Obama victory caucus site... yallerdawg Feb 2016 #32

2008 this ain't ! GusBob Feb 2016 #33

How about: Bernie Sanders is no Barack Obama CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #36

Mine too GusBob Feb 2016 #44

I think most everyone knew Sanders is no Obama Politicub Feb 2016 #39

Lol! sheshe2 Feb 2016 #43

:-) riversedge Feb 2016 #46

CNN: 21% of Caucus sites in: CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #34

Now 25% CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #40

Go, Hillary, go!! Politicub Feb 2016 #37

Hillary Clinton6 52.9% 117 Bernie Sanders 46.6% 103 391 of 1,681 precincts reportingSource: Associa riversedge Feb 2016 #38

WDM 115: Clinton wins 4-2 delegates over Sanders #IACaucus and pic... riversedge Feb 2016 #42

Johnson Cty being reported and shown now by msnbc in detail.. riversedge Feb 2016 #45

Nerve wracking BlueStateLib Feb 2016 #41

Sanders is closing as more votes have been reported: riversedge Feb 2016 #48

1st in State - Lucas County 100% reporting! yallerdawg Feb 2016 #49

ernie wins Davenport D42 precinct 75-62. Bernie will get 3 delegates, Hillary 2, O'Malley nonviable. riversedge Feb 2016 #50

55.32% reporting 51.2% Hillary Clinton % reflects del. strength 48.35% Bernie Sanders riversedge Feb 2016 #51

slight different web page for Des moines Reg.... riversedge Feb 2016 #52

David Wasserman on 538 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #53

good for Hilllary--some Rural counties.. riversedge Feb 2016 #54

There�s still a good chuck of Hillary-friendly Polk (Des Moines) still out: riversedge Feb 2016 #55

Pretty much a done deal Treant Feb 2016 #56

Ames Precinct 2-3 Caucus Results riversedge Feb 2016 #57

Clinton camp declaring Victory --msnbc not saying yet riversedge Feb 2016 #58

Please please please. nt sheshe2 Feb 2016 #61

A win is a win and I think Hillary will win this one book_worm Feb 2016 #59

Bottom line will be: 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #60

This. Treant Feb 2016 #63

I hate to say it 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #64

What about Minnesota? book_worm Feb 2016 #68

I still say Treant Feb 2016 #70

Clinton 50.1 percent, Sanders 49.3 percent with 85 percent in: riversedge Feb 2016 #62

Omg, she should not have announced. It's a tie. Hekate Feb 2016 #65

actually I am too. sheshe2 Feb 2016 #66

Polk still sitting out Treant Feb 2016 #67

What about the delegates? book_worm Feb 2016 #69

Close to 22 each. Treant Feb 2016 #71

Hillary can thank Polk County (Des Moines) for probably winning this narrowly... book_worm Feb 2016 #72

This is the one and only time that Bernie needs the 1%. riversedge Feb 2016 #73

Whatever else happens, Clinton has a nice 53-48% lead in Polk County. Suburbs really helped out #IAC riversedge Feb 2016 #74

Hillary and bill and Chelsia take the stage in IOWA riversedge Feb 2016 #75

92.8% reporting 50.15% Hillary Clinton % reflects del. strength 49.32%....... riversedge Feb 2016 #76

Close call GusBob Feb 2016 #77

I agree with this tweet... riversedge Feb 2016 #78

94.11% reporting 49.89% Hillary Clinton % reflects del. strength 49.58% Bernie Sanders riversedge Feb 2016 #79

.@HillaryClinton to supporters, "I am a progressive who gets things done" # riversedge Feb 2016 #81

96 preceincts left... Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #80

82 preceincts left, 22 in Polk County... Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #82

A tie is a GOOD thing. jomin41 Feb 2016 #83

Adding three debates ( I believe) is an even bigger help. Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #84

Caucuses not yet reporting CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #85

Update: Caucuses not yet reporting CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #86

Update: Caucuses not yet reporting CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #87