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Hillary Clinton

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George II

(67,782 posts)
Tue Feb 9, 2016, 10:52 PM Feb 2016

All things considered, right now I'm very happy with where our campaign is tonight: [View all]

For months we've know that the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary would be difficult, and they were. In fact, of the 50 states and several territories, we knew that Iowa, New Hampshire, and Vermont would most likely be losers for Clinton.

But Hillary came out of Iowa with a lead of 2 pledged delegates, and tonight she'll probably wind up with about 4 less pledged delegates than Sanders.

So, with two of the three toughest states over and done with, Hillary is trailing Sanders by a net of 2 delegates, 35-33*.

Now the campaign can look ahead to the remaining 48 states where she has significant leads in dozens of them.

Next is Nevada, where she's leading in the polls by ~ 50% to 30% (and Sanders has alienated the union vote), after that South Carolina where she's leading by ~ 63% to 33%.

Going into Super Tuesday she should have a lead of about 20 pledged delegates, and she's currently positioned to win all but Vermont, and 100 more delegates than Sanders.

Yes, tonight was disappointing but not a surprise.

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