Hillary Clinton

unc70

(6,501 posts)

16. That is the WRAL poll

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 05:58 PM

Mar 2016

I was one of those polled. I think Clinton has a solid lead, but nothing like that claimed for the second half of the polling.

I think there might be a problem with last day of their polling, not just with the Sanders/Clinton part. Some of the other items polled seem "off" also. I don't know what was going on since I don't have the full data.

It looks like what can happen when you are sampling at the end to get enough samples in each of the required sub groups. It can also happen with certain types of oversampling.

Almost anything can taint a survey. Sampling during the Duke-Carolina game or the Downton Abbey finale.

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Washington Post-Univision Poll: HRC up 68-21 among hispanic voters in Florida [View all] WI_DEM Mar 2016 OP

Wondering when I will trust polls again. riversedge Mar 2016 #1

^^this^^ DeadLetterOffice Mar 2016 #4

Yeah, the MI poll was out to lunch. BUT, the problem with that poll... Buzz Clik Mar 2016 #8

They're probably rethinking their polling algorithms right now. MineralMan Mar 2016 #9

Being a closed primary, the result will be easier to predict. Buzz Clik Mar 2016 #2

Open primaries are pure bullshit Tommy2Tone Mar 2016 #5

Agree. I just don't see the necessity for open primaries. I really don't. eom BlueCaliDem Mar 2016 #12

In NC, Bernie leads with Latinos unc70 Mar 2016 #3

Wow, really? vdogg Mar 2016 #7

Small % of Latino in nc, where did you get those stats? FloridaBlues Mar 2016 #10

Rapid increase in Latino community unc70 Mar 2016 #11

Is this the WRAL poll where Hillary leads him by +23 points? Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #13

Poll taken after the Flint debate. Hillary clearly won. Michigan remains oasis Mar 2016 #14

I agree with you. I always felt it would be closer than the polls were saying, but I certainly.... Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #15

I'd like to see some backup data on Latino voter support for Bernie. oasis Mar 2016 #17

That is the WRAL poll unc70 Mar 2016 #16

I trust this one. vdogg Mar 2016 #6