STATE OF THE PRIMARY - April 7, 2016 [View all]

[Chichiri]

61 Days to California, 12 Days to New York.


Delegate Count

Pledged Delegates: Clinton 1,301, Sanders 1,089 (Clinton +212).
Total Delegates: Clinton 1,770, Sanders 1,120 (Clinton +650).
2,382 delegates to secure nomination.
2,026 pledged delegates to secure the majority.
Clinton needs 43.7% of remaining pledged delegates.


Latest Results

Wisconsin (April 5): Sanders 48, Clinton 38 (Sanders +11).
Versus 3/30 Targets: Sanders 48/50 (-2), Clinton 38/36 (+2).


Next Primary: April 9

Wyoming: 14 delegates.
3/30 Targets: Sanders 11, Clinton 3.



Comments
The final Wisconsin numbers are in, and while Bernie performed better than a lot of people thought he would, he did not perform well enough. He needed to net 14 delegates on the night; he netted 10. So it's Wyoming on Saturday, and then New York 10 days later. We'll start to consider New York in more detail after Saturday.

If, like me, your blood is boiling over over Bernie's latest smear of Hillary, here are some numbers to keep in mind.

Of the 173 Representatives who have endorsed in the Democratic primary, 166 believe that Hillary is more qualified than Bernie.

Of the 40 Senators who have endorsed in the Democratic primary, all 40 believe that Hillary is more qualified than Bernie.

Of the 14 state Governors who have endorsed in the Democratic primary, all 14 believe that Hillary is more qualified than Bernie.

Of the four Cabinet members who have endorsed in the Democratic primary, all four believe that Hillary is more qualified than Bernie.

These are all people who exist in the pool from which Presidential candidates are typically drawn. They know better than anyone (except for former Presidents) what it takes to serve in the highest level in the land. And with 7 exceptions out of 231, they all think that Bernie is either less qualified than Hillary, or downright unqualified.

One more thing: literally as I was finishing typing this up, I finally got the job offer that I've been waiting for lo these many weeks. (Huzzah!) I'm not sure yet how this will impact SotP updates, but it probably will. Remember that you can always find the latest edition in my journal.


How This Works
Unless otherwise indicated, all information is taken from FiveThirtyEight except the superdelegate count, which is taken from Associated Press. Superdelegates, who have declared their intention to vote for one of the candidates (but may change their mind before the convention). The target numbers indicate how many delegates each candidate would have to earn, or to have, in order to be on track to tie for the nomination.


Pun Of The Day
I've never flown a hang glider before; I'll have to wing it!