Latin America

Peace Patriot

(24,010 posts)

7. Boy, were those pollsters wrong! Correa got SIXTY-ONE PERCENT of the vote!

Mon Feb 18, 2013, 12:59 AM

Feb 2013

Let's remember who they are...

"Quito-based polling firms Perfiles de Opinion and CIEES" and

"Mexico-based pollster ARCOP."

The first said Correa would get only 40% of the vote. The second said he would face a run-off. Both wrong by a huge margin. I would guess that they are the sort of pollsters who don't go into poor and/or rural areas, or poll only by cell phone, or have other flaws that skewer their predictions so badly. It's possible that they are politically influenced--i.e., rightwing pollsters trying to influence voters by misrepresenting Correa's popularity before the election, but I don't know this for sure, and, if it's true, they certainly failed.

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Here's the report on Correa's 61% victory:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014401687

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Highlight:

'Ecuador’s Chavez' headed for re-election landslide [View all] Judi Lynn Feb 2013 OP

Good. Nt newfie11 Feb 2013 #1

"Ecuador's Chavez"? Cooley Hurd Feb 2013 #2

Ridiculous headline, great news. Warren Stupidity Feb 2013 #3

A nearly 70% approval rating, yet Correa expected to get only a 40% vote in a multi-candidate field? Peace Patriot Feb 2013 #4

Two party system: naaman fletcher Feb 2013 #5

In Brazil... ocpagu Feb 2013 #6

I was right to be skeptical of these pollsters 40% prediction. Correa won by 61% of the vote. Peace Patriot Feb 2013 #8

Boy, were those pollsters wrong! Correa got SIXTY-ONE PERCENT of the vote! Peace Patriot Feb 2013 #7

Nice, a landslide nt flamingdem Feb 2013 #9