Economy
In reply to the discussion: STOCK MARKET WATCH -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012 [View all]Ghost Dog
(16,881 posts)... Has the great short seller gone soft? Well, yes. Sitting in his 33rd-floor corner office high above Seventh Avenue in New York, preparing for his trip to Davos, he is more concerned with surviving than staying rich. At times like these, survival is the most important thing, he says, peering through his owlish glasses and brushing wisps of gray hair off his forehead. He doesnt just mean its time to protect your assets. He means its time to stave off disaster. As he sees it, the world faces one of the most dangerous periods of modern historya period of evil. Europe is confronting a descent into chaos and conflict. In America he predicts riots on the streets that will lead to a brutal clampdown that will dramatically curtail civil liberties. The global economic system could even collapse altogether...
... I am not here to cheer you up. The situation is about as serious and difficult as Ive experienced in my career, Soros tells Newsweek. We are facing an extremely difficult time, comparable in many ways to the 1930s, the Great Depression. We are facing now a general retrenchment in the developed world, which threatens to put us in a decade of more stagnation, or worse. The best-case scenario is a deflationary environment. The worst-case scenario is a collapse of the financial system....
... Soros draws on his past to argue that the global economic crisis is as significant, and unpredictable, as the end of communism. The collapse of the Soviet system was a pretty extraordinary event, and we are currently experiencing something similar in the developed world, without fully realizing whats happening. To Soros, the spectacular debunking of the credo of efficient marketsthe notion that markets are rational and can regulate themselves to avert disasteris comparable to the collapse of Marxism as a political system. The prevailing interpretation has turned out to be very misleading. It assumes perfect knowledge, which is very far removed from reality. We need to move from the Age of Reason to the Age of Fallibility in order to have a proper understanding of the problems....
... Understanding, he says, is key. Unrestrained competition can drive people into actions that they would otherwise regret. The tragedy of our current situation is the unintended consequence of imperfect understanding. A lot of the evil in the world is actually not intentional. A lot of people in the financial system did a lot of damage without intending to. Still, Soros believes the West is struggling to cope with the consequences of evil in the financial world just as former Eastern bloc countries struggled with it politically. Is he really saying that the financial whizzes behind our economic meltdown were not just wrong, but evil? Thats correct. Take that, Lloyd Blankfein, the Goldman Sachs boss who told The Sunday Times of London at the height of the financial crisis that bankers do Gods work....
/... http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/01/22/george-soros-on-the-coming-u-s-class-war.html