Economy
In reply to the discussion: STOCK MARKET WATCH -- Wednesday, 19 November 2014 [View all]DemReadingDU
(16,002 posts)11/18/14 George Monbiot: "The Insatiable God"
The blind pursuit of economic growth stokes a cycle of financial crisis, and wrecks our world.
Another crash is coming. We all know it, now even David Cameron acknowledges it(1). The only questions are what the immediate catalyst will be, and when it begins.
You can take your pick. The Financial Times reports today that China now resembles the US in 2007(2). Domestic bank loans have risen 40% since 2008, while the ability to repay that debt has deteriorated dramatically. Property prices are falling and the companies that run Chinas shadow banking system provide virtually no disclosure of their liabilities. Just two days ago, the G20 leaders announced that growth in China is robust and is becoming more sustainable(3). You can judge the value of their assurances for yourself.
If it goes down soon, as Cameron fears, in a world of empty coffers and hobbled public services, it will precipitate an ideological crisis graver than the blow to Keynesianism in 1970s. The problem that then arises and which explains the longevity of the discredited ideology that caused the last crash is that there is no alternative policy, accepted by mainstream political parties, with which to replace it. They will keep making the same mistakes while expecting a different outcome.
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Why are we wrecking the natural world and public services to generate growth when that growth is not delivering contentment, security or even, for most of us, greater prosperity? Why have we enthroned growth, regardless of its utility, above all over outcomes? Why, despite failures so great and so frequent, have we not changed the model? When the next crash comes, these questions will be inescapable.
more, plus references
http://www.monbiot.com/2014/11/18/the-insatiable-god/