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MattSh

(3,714 posts)
8. What Forbes is predicting...
Sat Dec 5, 2015, 04:24 AM
Dec 2015
Fortune's predictions for 2016 in business, politics, markets and more - Fortune

Fortune’s predictions about the events, people and ideas that will matter in 2016, in business, politics, technology and more.

Presidential election years bring out the Nostradamus in all of us. But beyond the White House horse race, there will be plenty of other big changes to anticipate in 2016 in business, culture, and the economy. To predict just what they’ll be, the staff of Fortune has parsed the data and polled the experts; here, with humility, we’ve assembled our own educated guesses about the year ahead.

Our forecast: Look for Apple AAPL 3.32% and Serena Williams to keep soaring while Pfizer PFE 1.02% and GE GE 1.53% get smaller. As tech euphoria collides with reality, expect some unicorns to lose their horns while others disappear. Cyberespionage will rise sharply; interest rates will not. There will be big breakthroughs in how you get around, including an affordable “hoverboard.” And most important, there will be modest but real GDP growth —between 2.6% and 2.8% in the U.S., higher in emerging economies—as a resilient world defies fears of a China-driven crash.

And predictions in these areas:

• Corporate America: Boards, mergers and breakups

Here’s How Many Fortune 500 Board Seats Women Will Hold

Activist Investors Will Get Less Active

Hudson’s Bay Will Buy Macy’s

A New-Media Juggernaut Will Buy An Old Media Brand

Hostile Takeover Battles Will Surge

Healthcare’s M&A Flood Will Ebb

Pfizer Will Break Up

• Silicon Valley and Tech Companies

Apple Will Buy Tesla…

…While Becoming the First $800 Billion Company

Unicorn Investing Will Get Ugly

Why Jack Dorsey Will Leave Square (But Stay at Twitter)

The Cybersecurity Startup Boom Will End

An Entrenched Computer Security Company Will Get Hacked

The Food-Delivery Bubble Will Pop

• Politics

Campaign Ad Spending Will Have Another Boom Year

This GOP Ticket…

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, an unrivaled communicator within his party who deftly straddles its warring wings, will emerge from the GOP presidential scrum as the nominee. Doubling down on the “youthful D.C. outsider” contrast he intends to press against Clinton, Rubio will tap South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, 43, as his running mate. The fellow second-generation American from the Sun Belt, now in her second term, maintains solid approval numbers at home. More importantly, her handling of the state’s Confederate flag controversy expanded her support among constituencies — including African-Americans and self-identified Democrats — who’ll be key to any Republican victory. —Tory Newmyer

…Will Take On These Democrats

Hillary Clinton will enjoy a near-unimpeded march to her party’s nomination. But the primaries will reveal her troubling weakness among white working-class men. She’ll try to address it by rounding out her ticket with Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine, a Harvard-educated former civil rights lawyer who’s nonetheless got lunchbucket cred as the successful former governor of a Southern state. Bonus: He speaks fluent Spanish. —Newmyer

My note: Anybody see a problem with both of these tickets? The GOP, from Florida and South Carolina, and the Dems, from New York (or Arkansas) and Virginia. So... Whatever happened to regional balance? Is that still a thing? Or is that so 20th century?

The Democrats Will (Narrowly) Retake the Senate

Another 6 States Will Go Green (With Legal Pot)

Obama Will Take a Parting Shot at Big Donors

• Science Breakthroughs

Warm-Weather Athletes Will Get Self-Cooling Clothes

The Private Sector Will Engineer a Fusion Breakthrough

A New Drug Will Show Promise in the Alzheimer’s Fight

• Consumer Trends

‘Hoverboards’ Will Wobble Into the Mainstream

Robots Will Do More of Your Driving

Cyberspies Will Attack Your Inbox

Full-Fat Will Be the New Fat-Free

These Popular Foods Will Get More Expensive

• Markets and the Global Economy

Consumers (and Rate Cuts) Keep China Growing

Here’s How Much Interest Rates Will Rise in 2016

Here’s Where the S&P 500 Will Be at the End of 2016

What Oil Will Cost at the End of 2016

• Sports

Serena Williams Will Cash In With Endorsement Deals

Pro Football Gets Bigger — in the U.S. and China

The NHL Will Expand—to Another Snow-Free City

Under Armour Will Sign a Big Deal With Ronda Rousey

What Fortune Got Right and Wrong in 2015

On the money: We correctly forecast that China’s growth would slow to 7%. We also called the ongoing boom in China’s domestic smartphone industry. We predicted that U.S. wage growth would improve. And we foresaw that the extra income would fuel faster spending on home improvements.

Partial credit: We said Congress would break its gridlock to advance Pacific trade talks; they did, though a final deal still isn’t assured.

Where we whiffed: We said Amazon would follow the disappointing Fire Phone with a new, better phone; that hasn’t happened yet. We predicted falling prices would make solar energy cheaper than fossil fuel in most states; that was overly exuberant. And we forecast a “booming” rebound for oil. (We’re still waiting.)

-----> http://fortune.com/predictions-2016-future-business/
Madoff victims get holiday treat with $1.1 million checks Hotler Dec 2015 #1
More music......Some blues featuring Steve Earle Hotler Dec 2015 #2
Ask me what I am drinking. What are you drinking Hotler? Hotler Dec 2015 #3
Well, I first saw this post after some vodka... MattSh Dec 2015 #47
Good combination! hamerfan Dec 2015 #4
Demeter's status is sadly unchanged... MattSh Dec 2015 #6
or PPRd without being PPRd...check this out magical thyme Dec 2015 #13
I can't believe she got a time out for posting a legitimate article from a legitimate source. mother earth Dec 2015 #19
What? What? Someone clue me in? bread_and_roses Dec 2015 #43
Happened last weekend... MattSh Dec 2015 #45
Thanks, MattSh (n/t) bread_and_roses Dec 2015 #46
Here's a link to the Hall of Infamy post... MattSh Dec 2015 #48
"Combo ski trip/mass murder" Thats funny, cracks me up .... Hotler Dec 2015 #60
Shows you have a sense of the ridiculous Proserpina Dec 2015 #63
Great song, real heart breaker n/t Hotler Dec 2015 #15
Well... MattSh Dec 2015 #5
Unlike mainstream prognosticators, who seem to always find a silver lining. Or 100... MattSh Dec 2015 #7
As long as the printing presses keep going, hamerfan Dec 2015 #10
Yeah... but... MattSh Dec 2015 #12
A currency fails when the banks stop using it Proserpina Dec 2015 #32
What Forbes is predicting... MattSh Dec 2015 #8
Don't bet on it: These 2015 predictions were way off base Proserpina Dec 2015 #51
US economy recession odds '65 percent': Investor Proserpina Dec 2015 #52
Closing the 'Collapse Gap': the USSR was better prepared for collapse than the US MattSh Dec 2015 #9
A must read. I agree that when.... Hotler Dec 2015 #17
TY, hotler, for being another really good reason to love this group. :) mother earth Dec 2015 #25
I agree.. haikugal Dec 2015 #58
The Countries With The Highest Levels Of Poverty For Retirees [Infographic] - Forbes MattSh Dec 2015 #11
Musical Interlude - In the Year 2525 MattSh Dec 2015 #14
God, that's a depressing song Proserpina Dec 2015 #33
Here's why Wall Street is worried about 2016 Hotler Dec 2015 #16
Hotler! We need your quote! hamerfan Dec 2015 #18
This one? Hotler Dec 2015 #20
Bingo! hamerfan Dec 2015 #23
A quote I did not write. Posted just for fun. Hotler Dec 2015 #22
I have no hope. I see no future. Fuddnik Dec 2015 #24
Sometimes societies just go crazy. MattSh Dec 2015 #21
I gained a lot more respect for the Soviet Union when... MattSh Dec 2015 #26
Musical Interlude hamerfan Dec 2015 #27
Queen: "Is This the World We Created?" antigop Dec 2015 #28
That song makes me sad. The question it asks is valid today... Hotler Dec 2015 #61
"Is peace, love, kindness, understanding too much to ask for from a society." antigop Dec 2015 #62
Pot breathalyzer may be coming soon to police near you Hotler Dec 2015 #29
Are you in love? Remember being in love? Hotler Dec 2015 #30
I know you loved him. A long time ago..... Hotler Dec 2015 #31
STOCKS GO NUTS AFTER THE JOBS REPORT: Here's what you need to know Proserpina Dec 2015 #34
US fund manager accused of faking own death is convicted of fraud Proserpina Dec 2015 #35
Inequality isn't just unfair — it's making people sick Proserpina Dec 2015 #36
Commodity prices and exchange rates Proserpina Dec 2015 #37
The Federal Reserve Board's 8 Percent Hike in the Social Security Tax / Dean Baker Proserpina Dec 2015 #38
Most of What You Learned in Econ 101 Is Wrong Proserpina Dec 2015 #39
Not so smart: Why two big banks failed Proserpina Dec 2015 #40
I don't know about predictions, but here's some analysis Proserpina Dec 2015 #41
And that's what Mom had selected for today... Proserpina Dec 2015 #42
Musical Interlude II hamerfan Dec 2015 #44
Maybe if by Tuesday morning... MattSh Dec 2015 #49
Tumblr the new tool for teenage thieves — RT News MattSh Dec 2015 #50
Baby Boomers' Social Security Woes Summed Up in 1 Chart Proserpina Dec 2015 #53
Americans over 30 are more miserable than they’ve ever been Proserpina Dec 2015 #54
Also, see post 11. MattSh Dec 2015 #55
And more... MattSh Dec 2015 #56
Musical Interlude - 21st Century Digital Boy MattSh Dec 2015 #57
Koch-funded center approved at Western Carolina University antigop Dec 2015 #59
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