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PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)
5. The strong Dow seems to be mainly a handful of stocks, as I understand it.
Mon Aug 10, 2020, 04:24 PM
Aug 2020

Also, the companies that simply declare bankruptcy but stay in business will come out of this quite nicely. They'll be able to shed debt and keep on doing whatever it is they always did. So when you read that Company X is declaring bankruptcy, it may not mean that it's shutting down.

Here's something else to keep in mind: Two years out of every three the market goes up. And most gains and losses occur in a very short time span, which is why timing the market is a fool's game. In fact, I have in front of me a chart from an annuity company that says in the past 94 years, 69 of them had a positive return in the market, and 25 of them had a negative return. The Great Depression did start with four years in a row of negative returns. Then in 1933 the market went up 54%.

I wish I could find this chart on line so I could share it, because it really is quite fascinating.

The most essential thing is to understand that the economy and the market are two very, very different things. And that in the long run staying invested is a very good idea. It may be that taking some profits out now would make sense for an individual. But selling everything, as some have advocated, because the market is going to crash, crash, CRASH any day now, shows a lack of understanding about how the market works.

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My tinfoil hat theory.. cilla4progress Aug 2020 #1
Well, one thing no one has mentioned is that the Market is looking forward to a big Biden victory. Hoyt Aug 2020 #2
Answer: $6 Trillion Bailout OneBro Aug 2020 #3
Look at the composition of the indexes Abnredleg Aug 2020 #4
The strong Dow seems to be mainly a handful of stocks, as I understand it. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2020 #5
I have taken some out, the rest RazzleCat Aug 2020 #13
Sounds like you're doing it the right way. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2020 #14
The Market is a rich person's game. iemitsu Aug 2020 #6
Which is why I "piggyback" on the market. Rich people's interests always prevail. Midnight Writer Aug 2020 #8
Seems that way, doesn't it. iemitsu Aug 2020 #12
If you think of it that way, if you think the only thing to do is to "play" PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2020 #15
Capitalists have a ton of money. Laelth Aug 2020 #7
Personal income was up 7.3% in the 2nd quarter, and up 10.1% over Q2 2019 progree Aug 2020 #9
There is no place else to put money. Banks and bonds doc03 Aug 2020 #10
The market always eventually comes back, umm, it took 16 years for the Dow to get back to progree Aug 2020 #11
Here's a link to an interesting article about the Dow 1966-1982. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2020 #16
Most people don't own the entire market. They own individual stocks and/or several mutual progree Aug 2020 #17
The market has not nose dived yet because there is no reason for it to nose dive. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2020 #18
The market did dive: the S&P 500 declined 33.9% from February 19 to March 23 progree Aug 2020 #19
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