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Environment & Energy
In reply to the discussion: China keen on action in global efforts against climate change [View all]joshcryer
(62,536 posts)37. The source they use is EIA, which has historically underestimated China.
We can throw out their source and go directly to the EIA, however, kristopher has had a problem with the EIA in the past.
The EIA fully supports what I have said: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/ieo/
China's coal is going to explode: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/ieo/coal.cfm
Coal use in China's electricity sector increases from 28.7 quadrillion Btu in 2008 to 63.4 quadrillion Btu in 2035, at an average rate of 3.0 percent per year. In comparison, coal consumption in the U.S. electricity sector grows by 0.2 percent annually, from 20.5 quadrillion Btu in 2008 to 21.6 quadrillion Btu in 2035. At the end of 2008, China had an estimated 557 gigawatts of operating coal-fired capacity. To meet increasing demand for electricity that accompanies the relatively strong outlook for China's economic growth, the IEO2011 Reference case projects a need for 485 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity additions (net of retirements) from 2008 through 2035. The substantial amount of new capacity represents, on average, 18 gigawatts of new coal-fired capacity additions per year, which is a considerably slower rate of construction than occurred during the 5-year period ending in 2008, when coal-fired capacity additions averaged 55 gigawatts per year. Coal's share of total electricity generation in China declines from 80 percent in 2008 to 66 percent in 2035 (Figure 69), as generation from nuclear, renewables, and natural gas each grows more rapidly than generation from coal.
These are energy producers we should aspire toward.
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What happens if by 2015 the price of solar generated electricity is far less than nuclear?
kristopher
Dec 2011
#23
Retiring plants are being retired for inefficiency, not to phase out coal. They will double coal...
joshcryer
Dec 2011
#18