"It's worse than we thought." Sound familiar?

[joshcryer]

41. If I drop a weight, it will fall to the ground.

If the arctic continues melting at the rate it is melting it will be gone for good swaths of time in the next 5 years.

Now. We know that a weight, if dropped will fall to the ground.

Likewise, we know that the arctic is undergoing unprecedented sea ice melt.

Therefore logic and reason would suggest that the likelihood that this will happen is high.

Therefore if you are to say that "it is far from inevitable" you must provide data that contradicts the logic and suggests that it is not happening.

You have not done that.

Deniers will happily point to antarctic ice gains and claim that an equilibrium is being had. Yet, antarctic sea ice gains are due to higher winds and in the end do not balance out the equation. Overall, globally, sea ice is decreasing. Once the arctic loses the ice volume, it's all over, there will be little opportunity for ice to reform due to seasonal ice that survives the summer, and the arctic will be largely ice free, permanently, as a "new normal" for humanity to enjoy.