http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cabot/documents/anderson-ppt.pdf
http://www.indymedia.org.uk/media/2012/11//502497.mp3
It's more than passing strange how much honest science resembles the views of us doomers.
From the PDF, regarding the delusional nature of most of the current authoritative projections about carbon:
...with few exceptions, these include:
Recent historical emissions sometimes mistaken or massaged
Short-term emission growth seriously down played
Peak year choice Machiavellian & dangerously misleading
Reduction rate universally dictated by economists
Geoengineering widespread in low carbon scenarios
Annex 1/non-Annex 1 emissions split neglected or hidden
Assumptions about Big technology naively optimistic
(Net Costs meaningless with non-marginal mitigation & adaptation)
Collectively they have a magicians view of time & a linear view of problems ?
Again from Anderson's talk:
For 4°C global mean surface temperature
5°C - 6°C global land mean
& increase °C on the hottest days of:
6°C - 8°C in China
8°C - 10°C in Central Europe
10°C -12°C in New York
In low latitudes 4°C gives
up to 40% reduction in maize & rice
as population heads towards 9 billion by 2050
And this is from Fatih Birol (chief economist of the IEA):
When I look at this data, the trend is perfectly in line with a temperature increase of 6 degrees Celsius, which would have devastating consequences for the planet.
Read the Powerpoint, listen to the mp3, and then tell me we're going to make it...