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Environment & Energy
In reply to the discussion: Actual Carbon Emissions vs. IPCC Scenarios - how far away is safety? [View all]cprise
(8,445 posts)14. There are a number of species that lived through that level of warming
...in the past. Humanity is not one of them. We are not even remotely adapted for such conditions.
So then what could mitigate that? High technology? It is usually assumed by people examining the worst-case scenarios that industrial civilization will be hobbled or obliterated. That means we'd have to get through 50,000 years or more with low tech or no tech. In conditions we never adapted to. Even fairly distant cousins on our evolutionary branch never adapted to the hothouse climate.
Anyone ruling-out human extinction would have to do so on the assumption that industrial civilization stays intact even during the worst climate repercussions.
Now that is a stretch.
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Actual Carbon Emissions vs. IPCC Scenarios - how far away is safety? [View all]
GliderGuider
Nov 2012
OP
Well, I'm now convinced that more research is needed re: Toba at any rate.
AverageJoe90
Nov 2012
#25
OK, I do realize I could have been clearer. However, my point does still stand.
AverageJoe90
Nov 2012
#19
I'm unwilling to extrapolate out to 2100, based soley on data for the past 20-odd years
OKIsItJustMe
Nov 2012
#22
Stopping the extrapolation at 2015 leaves far too much wiggle room for the diminishers.
GliderGuider
Nov 2012
#24
The point is to present what is possibly the worst case scenario imaginable.
GliderGuider
Nov 2012
#30
I prefer to keep it in line with the IPCC projections that go out to 2100.
GliderGuider
Nov 2012
#32