And it could even happen sooner than anyone predicts.
We know that it will not get cooler from this point on in the next few decades. We know we are already in severe drought in our food producing regions, and crops are already experiencing heavy inflation due to the deficits. The chance and severity of drought is only guaranteed to increase from this point forward.
Between increased warming, fresh water shortages, soil breakdown and potash depletion, the entire centralized food production model can experience a disaster level failure in a very short amount of time. The sooner it happens, the greater chance of survival for people like me (who can live off an ecosystem that isn't yet damaged beyond repair). The longer it takes is the closer we move towards human extinction.
This is another reason I think the cornucopiasts (BAU, but "greener"
are missing the point. The unwillingness to re-engineer how civilization works ignores this problem, which is virtually unavoidable at this rate despite how much we can lower the carbon intensity of energy. In fact, the very momentum of civilization is preventing anyone from doing anything about this (which involves creating local, redundant food systems optimal for regional climates). Food production is becoming more and more centralized/monopolized, simply due to money and politics--yes, politics, which people are putting their faith in as a mechanism to save humans.
In any case, keep your eye on the food supply. This will do us in before hurricanes, fires, earthquakes, wars, declining EROEI, etc.
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