'Peak Farmland' Is Here, Crop Area to Diminish

[NickB79]

9. Problem #1: they assume crop yields won't fall

As global climate change tightens it's grip on the planet.

Ausubel's study admits to making many assumptions - rising crop yields, slowing population growth, a relatively slow rise in the use of crops to produce biofuels, moderate rises in meat consumption - that could all skew the outcome, if not accurate.

It also does not factor in any disruptions from significant climate change that U.N. studies say could affect farm output with rising temperatures, less predictable rainfall, more floods or droughts, desertification and heatwaves.

Ask a Kansas farmer how that assumption is working out so far.