Black Swan Theory and anti-nuclear sentiment

[joshcryer]

17. That article is written by Elaine Hirsch.

The population of Fukushima Prefecture is 2 million. Therefore there was a 2 in 1 chance that a Fukushima Prefecture resident would be affected by a nuclear incident every year.

This is why Gen II/III/III+ nuclear reactors are not viable, as they have too low of a probability assessment. Far too low. The author even talks about "small probabilities" which the Fukushima reactors, archaic technology, were depending on.

Lower chance than being killed by lightening. There are 24k deaths by lightening every year. By that measure nuclear power should be blowing up every day. It's horribly low. You need levels so high as to be so improbable as the planet exploding or something like that.