“There's no evidence yet that education without industrialization can reduce fertility rates below replacement levels.”
Are you certain of that?
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Fertility-rate-in-India-drops-by-19-in-10-yrs/articleshow/12487718.cms
[font face=Serif][font size=5]Fertility rate in India drops by 19% in 10 yrs[/font]
Kounteya Sinha, TNN | Apr 1, 2012, 04.47AM IST
[font size=3]NEW DELHI: India's total fertility rate (TFR) — the average number of children expected to be born per woman during her reproductive years — has fallen by19% over the past decade. Among bigger states, the percentage decline in TFR during this period the last decade varied from as high as 28% in Punjab to 5.6%in Kerala.
…
On average, an illiterate woman in India is bearing 1.2 children more than a literate woman (3.4 against 2.2). The TFR among women who have studied till at least class X was as low as 1.9. This further dips to 1.6 among women who have studied till class XII.
The link between female education and fertility is clearly brought out by the SRS data. For instance, even in Bihar, the state with the worst overall TFR of 3.7, women who are educated up to Class X or beyond have a TFR of 2.0 or less. On the other hand, even in Maharashtra, which has an overall TFR of 1.9, women who had no education had a TFR of 6.0.
According to the SRS 2010, ten states have achieved replacement level fertility of 2.1 and below. However, 10 big states still have a higher TFR than this. These include Bihar (3.7), UP (3.5), MP (3.2), Rajasthan (3.1), Jharkhand (3),Chhattisgarh (2.8), Assam and Gujarat (2.5), Haryana and Odisha (2.3). What's worrying is that these states together account for nearly half of India's population.
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