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bemildred

(90,061 posts)
26. I thought that was well thought out and expressed.
Wed Oct 14, 2015, 02:59 PM
Oct 2015

I think a lot depends on how the Iranians do on the ground, in Iraq and in Syria. As it sits I don't think the Turks or Sauds will jump in, they are kind of tied up, but if Iran bogs down they might be tempted to try it anyway. That would be a right mess.

I think the deal Putin cut with Assad was one last offensive with Russian air cover and ground support, and then we negotiate. And he is wagering it won't get bigger, the war, he could lose that bet.

As it stands I don't think either Erdodgan or the Sauds can afford to do it. But reason will only take you so far.

And the Iranians haven't been all that sophisticated in the past, so they might well get bogged down.

Makes me want to hide.

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Can Putin pull off the miracle? [View all] bemildred Oct 2015 OP
Russian bear roams Arabia’s sands, wets toes in Bosphorus bemildred Oct 2015 #1
Message auto-removed Name removed Oct 2015 #5
No thanks. nt bemildred Oct 2015 #8
Turkey warns US, Russia over arms supply to Syrian Kurds bemildred Oct 2015 #2
US denies arming Kurdish group in Syria bemildred Oct 2015 #3
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'US-Russia playing Cold War game’ bemildred Oct 2015 #4
Sensible strategic move by Russia to give Assad support bemildred Oct 2015 #9
Russia’s bold Syrian adventure bemildred Oct 2015 #6
Overcoming America's Failure bemildred Oct 2015 #7
Rebels say US-made missiles turning tide against regime bemildred Oct 2015 #10
Is Russia Getting Its Money’s Worth from Its Syria Campaign? bemildred Oct 2015 #11
Iran’s Losing Major Operatives in Syria bemildred Oct 2015 #12
Iranian Commanders Killed in Syria as Assad, Allies Attack bemildred Oct 2015 #14
US, Russia Holding Talks to Seal Air Safety Agreement in Syria bemildred Oct 2015 #13
US: Forced displacement in northern Syria 'unacceptable' bemildred Oct 2015 #15
. nt bemildred Oct 2015 #16
Secretary of State John Kerry says US must challenge Islamic State, without being embroiled in large bemildred Oct 2015 #18
China says not planning to send military forces to Syria bemildred Oct 2015 #19
Liaoning neither deployed nor engaged... Ghost Dog Oct 2015 #21
+1. nt bemildred Oct 2015 #23
The New Eastern Question: Lebanon and the Russian involvement in Syria bemildred Oct 2015 #20
...1 KoKo Oct 2015 #24
I thought that was well thought out and expressed. bemildred Oct 2015 #26
I know... KoKo Oct 2015 #31
I've just been reading a bunch of different commentaries on the situation in Syria. bemildred Oct 2015 #33
Not quite sure how his proposals would work out, either, though... KoKo Oct 2015 #25
Well, the risks he speaks of are quite real, but hard to evaluate. bemildred Oct 2015 #27
Yes... KoKo Oct 2015 #28
Raqqa’s Hobbesian trap: With battle preparations come fear, paranoia and the looming prospect of ‘re bemildred Oct 2015 #22
Russia, Iran are part of solution in Syria: EU foreign policy chief bemildred Oct 2015 #29
Cuban Troops Join the Russian Offensive in Syria bemildred Oct 2015 #30
Whoa! KoKo Oct 2015 #32
That's because it is bizarre. nt bemildred Oct 2015 #34
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