$50 Billion Gone - Joe Blogs [View all]
The headlines suggest the crisis may be easing
but the reality is far more complicated.
After reports that the Strait of Hormuz had reopened, markets rallied and oil prices dropped sharply. But within hours, that optimism was called into question, with fresh developments indicating the situation is still highly unstable.
And while traders focus on the latest headlines, the real story is whats already been lost.
Over the past 50 days, more than 500 million barrels of oil have been wiped from the global market equivalent to weeks of global aviation demand, months of shipping fuel, and a significant portion of annual consumption across major economies.
At current prices, thats around $50 billion gone.
In this video, I break down:
Whats really happening in the Strait of Hormuz
Why markets may have reacted too quickly
The shocking scale of lost oil supply
What the inventory data is telling us (including a key chart)
And why the global economy is likely to feel the effects for months or even years
Even if tensions ease, this isnt something that simply resets overnight.
Higher energy costs, reduced supply, and ongoing uncertainty could continue to impact inflation, growth, and interest rates across the world.
So the key question is
Is this crisis actually over or are we just seeing a temporary pause?