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Foreign Affairs

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TexasTowelie

(127,737 posts)
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 01:11 PM Sunday

$50 Billion Gone - Joe Blogs [View all]



The headlines suggest the crisis may be easing… but the reality is far more complicated.

After reports that the Strait of Hormuz had reopened, markets rallied and oil prices dropped sharply. But within hours, that optimism was called into question, with fresh developments indicating the situation is still highly unstable.

And while traders focus on the latest headlines, the real story is what’s already been lost.

Over the past 50 days, more than 500 million barrels of oil have been wiped from the global market — equivalent to weeks of global aviation demand, months of shipping fuel, and a significant portion of annual consumption across major economies.

At current prices, that’s around $50 billion gone.

In this video, I break down:

• What’s really happening in the Strait of Hormuz
• Why markets may have reacted too quickly
• The shocking scale of lost oil supply
• What the inventory data is telling us (including a key chart)
• And why the global economy is likely to feel the effects for months — or even years

Even if tensions ease, this isn’t something that simply resets overnight.

Higher energy costs, reduced supply, and ongoing uncertainty could continue to impact inflation, growth, and interest rates across the world.

So the key question is…

Is this crisis actually over — or are we just seeing a temporary pause?
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