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dsc

(53,399 posts)
1. It is a long shot to say the least
Thu Jan 19, 2012, 10:59 AM
Jan 2012

but we do have a shot at this. There will very likely be a spirited primary in the most socially liberal district (by far) in the state which should make turnout very high in that district. There won't be nearly as high profile a primary in any GOP district (though there will be three primaries in semi solid red districts). The GOP nomination fight will be over and there is no fight at the state level. But we start with a 15 or so point deficit off polling but if the people know what the amendment does that drops to near even.

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