Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Straw Man

(6,633 posts)
17. Ignoble.
Wed Apr 15, 2015, 03:06 PM
Apr 2015
You 'lied with statistics' by inferring the murder rate difference between 1964 & 2013 had fallen ostensibly due to the presence of 'more guns', since the doubling of violent crime rates due more guns & less gun ownership, was my point.

I did no such thing. I never postulated any sort of causal relationship.

Readers will see how straw man 'lied with statistics', by ignoring intervening years between 1960s & 2000's, when murder rates ranged much higher to double the 1964 figure. Straw man simply took the start & end point murder rate stats &, 'lied with statistics'.

I could just as easily say that you "lied with statistics" by drawing cause-and-effect conclusions that ignore all other possible factors in the correlation. I was merely pointing out that you were cherry-picking data that supported your foregone conclusion and ignoring that which didn't.

His maths error was ignoring dozens of intervening years & merely taking a start year & end year & implying guns didn't affect murder rates long term, where national gunstock rose from 75 millions to 300 millions. Statistically invalid.

So what's the "national gunstock" now, Jimmy? Closer to 75 million, or closer to 300 million? If you're claiming a causal connection there, it would have to be the former figure in order to account for the lower murder rate. Simply put, you can't because it ain't.

I'm not making any errors, Jimmy, because I'm not drawing any conclusions. I'm citing the stats that you provided, and telling you why they don't support the conclusions that you have made: too many inherent contradictions. Correlation is not causation, Jimmy: that's axiomatic.

Furthermore, all the stats you cited are completely useless because they don't break down the crimes by weapon used.
Their fears never really pan out, they sell fear to folks that are ignorant of the facts ileus Apr 2015 #1
I can't imagine what it is to live in fear like that every minute of the day. Nuclear Unicorn Apr 2015 #5
Started our 2nd year in Illinois, 124,000 permits and still waiting ... DonP Apr 2015 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author petronius Apr 2015 #3
No blood in calculuz classes either Lurks Often Apr 2015 #4
Wasn't there supposed to be a daily re-enactment... NaturalHigh Apr 2015 #6
The control side is absolutely sure of so many things that just never happen DonP Apr 2015 #7
It isn't just that. beevul Apr 2015 #8
I once used, "small I ignorant" in a post - it got hidden DonP Apr 2015 #9
a gn's false premises jimmy the one Apr 2015 #10
Are those gonzo stats? Straw Man Apr 2015 #11
unrealistic & ridiculous jimmy the one Apr 2015 #13
I lie? That's as obnoxious as it is untrue, Jimmy. Straw Man Apr 2015 #14
ignorable jimmy the one Apr 2015 #16
Ignoble. Straw Man Apr 2015 #17
2 + 2 = 4, a four-gone conclusion jimmy the one Apr 2015 #20
Mixing causation with coincidence again, huh? Straw Man Apr 2015 #21
your inherent weakness jimmy the one Apr 2015 #22
One hardly knows where to begin ... Straw Man Apr 2015 #23
playing stupid? jimmy the one Apr 2015 #24
Ad nauseum, ad absurdum. Straw Man Apr 2015 #28
scrutiny jimmy the one Apr 2015 #30
I'll try to make this very plain for you, Jimmy. Straw Man Apr 2015 #31
Hmm....interesting exchange. blueridge3210 Apr 2015 #32
pac man jimmy the one Apr 2015 #25
You just don't get it, do you? Straw Man Apr 2015 #27
It's absolutely "bigoted and sickening" not to mention a shameful POV DonP Apr 2015 #12
nobody pays attention to jimmy, except, nobodies jimmy the one Apr 2015 #15
Irony. Straw Man Apr 2015 #18
parry to parry jimmy the one Apr 2015 #26
In other words ... Straw Man Apr 2015 #29
A few observations... jeepnstein Apr 2015 #19
Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Gun Control & RKBA»Concealed carry predictio...»Reply #17