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Straw Man

(6,633 posts)
21. Mixing causation with coincidence again, huh?
Thu Apr 16, 2015, 04:26 PM
Apr 2015

2+2 = 4 demonstrates a provable causal relationship. See the difference?

I wrote: national gunstock increased 300% since 1960's and the violent crime rate has near doubled since then.
straw man wrote: Yet the murder rate was actually lower in 2013 than it was in 1964 .

straw man remarked: I never postulated any sort of causal relationship.

I postulated you implied a positive gun effect by citing murder rates in 1964 & 2013, ostensibly to negate the resultant & concomitant doubling of violent crime rates.

You were wrong. That's what happens when you make unfounded claims about other people's intentions. I only posted those statistics to show the inherent weakness of equating correlation with causation.

I did not make a causal relationship between guns & violent crime, other than 'more guns more crime', which is demonstrably true what with the violent crime rate doubled since 1960's. 'More guns more crime' declares a correlation exists in the instance it is cited.

If there is no causation, then your post is pointless. We have more computers than we did in 1964. Shall we also broadcast the correlation of "more computers, more crime"?

If one answers 4, to the question what is 2 + 2, is that a foregone conclusion? My conclusion was based upon current & dated statistics I provided which I've realized for years, sometimes using earlier data.

What was your conclusion? Since you're disavowing causation, all we can say is that there are more guns and there is more violent crime. There are also more computers, not to mention electric cars, portable audio devices, and designer drug. Relevance?

And are gunnuts ashamed that national gunstock has risen from 75 to 300 millions in the past 50 years? I thought that was a bragging point?

It really doesn't matter to me one way or another. However, it's completely irrelevant unless you're claiming causation, in which case you've got some pretty heavy lifting to do.
Their fears never really pan out, they sell fear to folks that are ignorant of the facts ileus Apr 2015 #1
I can't imagine what it is to live in fear like that every minute of the day. Nuclear Unicorn Apr 2015 #5
Started our 2nd year in Illinois, 124,000 permits and still waiting ... DonP Apr 2015 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author petronius Apr 2015 #3
No blood in calculuz classes either Lurks Often Apr 2015 #4
Wasn't there supposed to be a daily re-enactment... NaturalHigh Apr 2015 #6
The control side is absolutely sure of so many things that just never happen DonP Apr 2015 #7
It isn't just that. beevul Apr 2015 #8
I once used, "small I ignorant" in a post - it got hidden DonP Apr 2015 #9
a gn's false premises jimmy the one Apr 2015 #10
Are those gonzo stats? Straw Man Apr 2015 #11
unrealistic & ridiculous jimmy the one Apr 2015 #13
I lie? That's as obnoxious as it is untrue, Jimmy. Straw Man Apr 2015 #14
ignorable jimmy the one Apr 2015 #16
Ignoble. Straw Man Apr 2015 #17
2 + 2 = 4, a four-gone conclusion jimmy the one Apr 2015 #20
Mixing causation with coincidence again, huh? Straw Man Apr 2015 #21
your inherent weakness jimmy the one Apr 2015 #22
One hardly knows where to begin ... Straw Man Apr 2015 #23
playing stupid? jimmy the one Apr 2015 #24
Ad nauseum, ad absurdum. Straw Man Apr 2015 #28
scrutiny jimmy the one Apr 2015 #30
I'll try to make this very plain for you, Jimmy. Straw Man Apr 2015 #31
Hmm....interesting exchange. blueridge3210 Apr 2015 #32
pac man jimmy the one Apr 2015 #25
You just don't get it, do you? Straw Man Apr 2015 #27
It's absolutely "bigoted and sickening" not to mention a shameful POV DonP Apr 2015 #12
nobody pays attention to jimmy, except, nobodies jimmy the one Apr 2015 #15
Irony. Straw Man Apr 2015 #18
parry to parry jimmy the one Apr 2015 #26
In other words ... Straw Man Apr 2015 #29
A few observations... jeepnstein Apr 2015 #19
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