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friendly_iconoclast

(15,333 posts)
22. Confirmation bias, with an appeal to non-authority...
Fri Sep 13, 2019, 01:59 PM
Sep 2019

..which would be you:

It's a good study.

Serious climate scientist and researcher here. You’re wrong.


It's not peer-reviewed, and you are neither a law professor nor a criminologist

From page 1 of the study (*.pdf):

https://www.nber.org/papers/w23510.pdf

NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that affirms one's prior beliefs or hypotheses. It is a type of cognitive bias and a systematic error of inductive reasoning. People display this bias when they gather or remember information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way. The effect is stronger for desired outcomes, for emotionally charged issues, and for deeply-entrenched beliefs.

People also tend to interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing position. Biased search, interpretation and memory have been invoked to explain attitude polarization (when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence), belief perseverance (when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false), the irrational primacy effect (a greater reliance on information encountered early in a series) and illusory correlation (when people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations).


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argument_from_authority#Appeal_to_non-authorities

http://www.skepdic.com/authorty.html

Appeal to authority

The appeal to authority is a fallacy of irrelevance when the authority being cited is not really an authority. E.g., to appeal to Einstein to support a point in religion would be to make an irrelevant appeal to authority. Einstein was an expert in physics, not religion. However, even if he had been a rabbi, to appeal to Rabbi Einstein as evidence that a god exists would still be an irrelevant appeal to authority because religion is by its very nature a controversial field. Not only do religious experts disagree about fundamental matters of religion, many people believe that religion itself is false. Appealing to non-experts as if they were experts, or appealing to experts in controversial fields, as evidence for a belief, are equally irrelevant to establishing the correctness of the belief.


But the NRA contributes a lot of money to preserve the status quo. guillaumeb Sep 2019 #1
Yes. Plus gun identity politics for votes sharedvalues Sep 2019 #2
My view on one factor: guillaumeb Sep 2019 #3
Very articulately put, guilliaumeb! mapol Sep 2019 #14
Welcome to DU, and thank you. guillaumeb Sep 2019 #17
The GOP keeps preventing the CDC from studying gun violence as an epidemic. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Sep 2019 #4
Not exactly discntnt_irny_srcsm Sep 2019 #8
CDC researchers aren't holding their breaths until money appears for the studies. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Sep 2019 #9
As I quoted: discntnt_irny_srcsm Sep 2019 #11
How ridiculous can people be?!? mapol Sep 2019 #16
Data/evidence isn't going to convince enough people when it is an identity issue akin to RockRaven Sep 2019 #5
We just have to convince some. Data is one way. sharedvalues Sep 2019 #6
Isn't that just so strange? PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2019 #7
What's also rather unbelievable is that a lot of people don't realize the 2nd Amendment is void. mapol Sep 2019 #10
Don't they teach civics anymore? Nt hack89 Sep 2019 #12
Therefore, we repeal the 2d, yagotme Sep 2019 #13
Banning assault weapons is a good start, though obviously not an end in itself. mapol Sep 2019 #15
Interesting. Straw Man Sep 2019 #18
A good start. yagotme Sep 2019 #19
A man with a knife killed 8 children in Hubei province 9/2/2019. Is that not "mass" enough? Marengo Sep 2019 #23
Unlike assault weapons, knives, hammers and other guns don't make the news. discntnt_irny_srcsm Sep 2019 #24
This is an unpublished study graeme_macquarrie Sep 2019 #20
It's a good study. sharedvalues Sep 2019 #21
Confirmation bias, with an appeal to non-authority... friendly_iconoclast Sep 2019 #22
Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Gun Control & RKBA»"Actually, guns do kill p...»Reply #22