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DanTex

(20,709 posts)
54. What you call "weasel words" are actually pretty normal for an economics paper.
Wed Aug 15, 2012, 03:59 PM
Aug 2012

The paper found 500 to 700 additional homicides due to SYG. Now, if all of those extra homicides were justifiable, that would change things, because it would mean that SYG wasn't actually causing any additional loss of innocent life. But, as the authors point out, even if you stretch the assumptions in that direction, you still can't account for the entire increase in terms of justifiable homicides. This isn't weaseling, it's typical: the authors are pointing out that their conclusions are still valid even under unfavorable changes of assumptions.

Of course, if you read the entire paper, you find out that under the most likely assumptions, only a small fraction of the increase in homicides is justifiable. Still, whether the majority of the additional homicides are justifiable or not is of secondary importance. Let's assume that SYG caused an increase in 300 justifiable homicides and 200 murders. That would still be bad -- it would mean 200 additional innocent lives lost. If SYG were actually saving lives, then we would find a drop in the number of murders, due to the fact that more would-be murder victims are successfully defending themselves.

As far as the Florida data goes, that is great, but that's only one series of data from one state. The two studies we are discussing do a far more thorough job of looking at the data systematically from all states that have passed SYG laws, and also taking into account national trends and other factors, etc. And, yes, they did find that SYG produced more justifiable homicides. However, and more importantly, they also found that SYG produced more murders.

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I believe pretty much everyone agreed this wasn't an SYG case. ileus Aug 2012 #1
Well said nt Reasonable_Argument Aug 2012 #2
Of course SYG is still relevant. DanTex Aug 2012 #3
+1 Starboard Tack Aug 2012 #4
It wasn't due to stand your ground, it was due to incompetence or political intrigue. TPaine7 Aug 2012 #5
Here, let me jog your memory. DanTex Aug 2012 #10
Good links bongbong Aug 2012 #17
Hmmmm... TPaine7 Aug 2012 #32
Kudos, dude. ;) HALO141 Aug 2012 #36
Thanks for your support n/t TPaine7 Aug 2012 #37
LOL. So many words, but zero content. DanTex Aug 2012 #39
Zero convenient content TPaine7 Aug 2012 #43
It's always funny... DanTex Aug 2012 #45
It is funny. TPaine7 Aug 2012 #50
Lives saved by SYG? DanTex Aug 2012 #51
Hmmmm... TPaine7 Aug 2012 #55
... DanTex Aug 2012 #56
that doesn't even remotely sound logical gejohnston Aug 2012 #6
Except that it's true. DanTex Aug 2012 #14
except that is what the press release of the study claims gejohnston Aug 2012 #18
That's where proper instruction, training, and understanding ileus Aug 2012 #7
Aren't those laws already covered when you get a permit? Reasonable_Argument Aug 2012 #9
Some states maybe....Virginia no. ileus Aug 2012 #12
Ah ok Reasonable_Argument Aug 2012 #15
So rrneck Aug 2012 #8
It also increased the number of justifiable homicides ... spin Aug 2012 #13
LOL. Try reading a little more carefully. DanTex Aug 2012 #16
while it claims a the laws gejohnston Aug 2012 #20
Since I'm at work Reasonable_Argument Aug 2012 #21
I thought the homicide rates have been decreasing for some time. Kaleva Aug 2012 #22
They have. DanTex Aug 2012 #23
Okay. Thanks for the explanation! Kaleva Aug 2012 #24
Basically, yes. DanTex Aug 2012 #25
how would the castle doctrine cause the gejohnston Aug 2012 #26
Lots of ways. For example, it could encourage vigilanteism. DanTex Aug 2012 #27
do you know the difference between castle doctrine and SYG? gejohnston Aug 2012 #28
Nobody is surprised that you can't tell the difference between science and talking points. DanTex Aug 2012 #29
Nobody is surprised that you pretend to tell the difference to make yourself feel good. gejohnston Aug 2012 #30
You are totally ignoring my point. ... spin Aug 2012 #38
You're joking, right? DanTex Aug 2012 #40
I not only empathized the important part of the conclusion but I underlined it ... spin Aug 2012 #41
Hoist on his own petard. n/t X_Digger Aug 2012 #42
Literacy is such an important life skill. n/t TPaine7 Aug 2012 #44
That's why you need to look at the actual numbers DanTex Aug 2012 #46
If the numbers were right in the report then why did the authors use weasel words ... spin Aug 2012 #52
What you call "weasel words" are actually pretty normal for an economics paper. DanTex Aug 2012 #54
Wrong. TPaine7 Aug 2012 #58
Umm, no you are wrong. DanTex Aug 2012 #61
Really? You doubt my assumption? TPaine7 Aug 2012 #62
Yes, really. DanTex Aug 2012 #63
Ok then... TPaine7 Aug 2012 #66
How the externality could be positive: DanTex Aug 2012 #68
Well, we still disagree, but I enjoyed this conversation n/t TPaine7 Aug 2012 #69
I agree n/t DanTex Aug 2012 #70
Right. Callisto32 Aug 2012 #19
I also infer... discntnt_irny_srcsm Aug 2012 #11
Could that be because of George pursuing Trayvon after the dispatcher told him muntrv Aug 2012 #31
I think he could get around that. The dispatcher's suggestion does not carry the force of law. TPaine7 Aug 2012 #33
He ignored his training which was only to observe and report. Kaleva Aug 2012 #34
Agreed, but not legally definitive. n/t TPaine7 Aug 2012 #35
Last night I was talking to a local police officer in my area of Florida... spin Aug 2012 #64
It's already been used. Zman initially walked and would have remained uncharged without protests. Hoyt Aug 2012 #47
that had nothing to do with SYG either gejohnston Aug 2012 #48
Yes it did. Besides, you gun cultists will always claim they felt threatened by unarmed teenager -- Hoyt Aug 2012 #49
Teenagers can be very dangerous ... spin Aug 2012 #53
Kids are innocent...besides at your advanced age ileus Aug 2012 #57
I know, Illus, kindergartens are really scary places. Hoyt Aug 2012 #60
If your Kindergartens have teens then I'm sure ileus Aug 2012 #74
Uncle Sam also promised me that I would have free medical care for the rest of my life ... spin Aug 2012 #67
My Dad won't go anywhere near a VA hospital. ileus Aug 2012 #75
Spin, it must be tough going through life -- with your gun -- thinking of ways to distrust people. Hoyt Aug 2012 #59
Nope. Not tough at all. spin Aug 2012 #65
Is it me or is Hoyt a little grumpier than usual? nt Union Scribe Aug 2012 #71
Been staying up late to protect my Obama sign from the local right wing, bigoted gun cultists. Hoyt Aug 2012 #72
claymores gejohnston Aug 2012 #73
Kind of pricey ManiacJoe Aug 2012 #76
So you are at war with your neighbors as well as some of your fellow DUers slackmaster Aug 2012 #77
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