Gun Control & RKBA
In reply to the discussion: George Zimmerman's attorneys won't use "stand your ground" defense [View all]TPaine7
(4,286 posts)It is an assumption, but it's not much of an assumption.
I don't think you could find any social scientist or MD of any persuasion who would not admit that some percentage of killed violent offenders would have gone on to murder. I do assume that they are correct, but I don't think that it's much of an assumption. I have a very hard time believing that you doubt it, given your reliance on statistics.
Is this the assumption of which there is zero evidence?
Now of course current measures cannot directly access future benefits. But STATISTICAL METHODS are well suited to estimate such things. It's fascinating that you, of all people, refuse to admit that.
The ultimate measure of success, of course, is what is actually measured over time. What cannot be measured now will be measurable in the future. Ultimately, time will tell.
But a rise in homicides was quite predictable under the most favorable view of the law. Initially, peopleCCW permitees, police, criminals and even judgeswill be confused. After a while, things will settle down. What will be interesting is how the new equilibrium compares to the old equilibrium.