African American
In reply to the discussion: "White People are Not as Important as Bernie Sanders Thinks" [View all]wildeyed
(11,243 posts)It was with Obama. Much depends on how well the new voter disenfranchisement laws work for the GOP. It seems that they often have the opposite of intended effect by rousing the groups that they were designed to exclude to greater turnout.
And we have never seen a candidate like Trump, either, so he is hard to predict. But what we lose to Trump with working class Dems, we pick up with moderate and female Reps who would be much less amiable to Sanders than they are to Clinton.
It can come down to very tight margins in a few swing states and the numbers are shifting toward a much less white electorate. It is not a slam dunk yet. But soon. And we are seeing a huge, seismic change in the Republican Party, so that need to play out, too. It appears that the Dixiecrats are going their own way with Trump, and that might lead to a much less racist but more ideologically pure conservative faction which could shift some black and immigrant voters away from Dems in the long term.
Lots of moving pieces in play right now. It will be interesting to see how the game plays out. But I am fully committed to the Obama Coalition. I think it is the winning coalition mathematically, but for me, it is also the most moral and progressive choice. That will not change.