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JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
37. I also add the 2002 Bucaneers
Thu Feb 13, 2014, 08:26 PM
Feb 2014

I meant as best since but may not be greatest ever or as great as them. Kaepernick & Brees has more experience against their D but they looked bad against them as well. Kaepernick went 13/28, 127 yards, 4.5 YPA, 0 TDs, 3 Ints (before I say more Kaepernick threw 11 picks this year - 5 to 5 different teams and 6 to the Seahawks).

Kaepernick was 15/29, 175 yards, 6.0 YPA, 1 TD - 1 INT. He was 19/36, 244 yards, 6.8 YPA, 1 TD - 1 INT in his match-up the season before.

Even if you include the playoff, he has been held well below his career and regular season averages in every matchup.

In Drew Brees' first matchup against the Seahawks he went 23/38, 147 yards, 3.8 YPA, 1 TD - 0 Int

Also you have to factor no-one is going to be mistake free on defense at all times as they were in the SB.

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The person's statistical analysis I trust most compared the defenses, he talks about the advantages and drawbacks of this comparison using the expected points added but when it comes football, he knows what kind of stats to toss in the garbage (YPC when running backs are often put in plays designed for short yardage and goalline situations so he created a Run Success Rate % state which is based more on if they run improved their down and distance - but third backs lead this category which has that as a drawback(Team SR% is more meaningful)) and what to use to start the conversation.

From what I can tell he comes to the same conclusion as you. They are probably the best defense since the 2009 New York Jets.

2013 Seahawks Defense: In the Conversation for Best Ever?

Back to the Seahawks. Their 2013 defensive EPA, including the entire postseason, was -5.9 points per game. (Negative numbers are good for defenses.) The 2000 Ravens' was -12.9, and the 2002 Bucs' was -10.6, both much better than SEA. But those are the raw EPA numbers, unadjusted for season.

When we adjust for season, things look a lot better for the L.O.B., but not that much. In fact, there are several defenses that come in ahead of Seattle's 2013 squad after adjusting for season. Besides the 2000 BAL squad and the 2002 TB squad, BAL '03, '06, and '08 all finish ahead of SEA. PIT '08 does as well. last year's CHI defense was only a hair behind, and the '09 NYJ defense is right there too. And this year's CIN defense wasn't very far behind SEA. To put things into perspective, the distance between the 2000 BAL defense and the 2013 SEA defense, accounting for era, is about the same as the difference between this year's SEA defense and this year's BUF defense, a very good group but not in the conversation for best ever.

Adjusting for season helps level the playing field, but it's still not completely fair to SEA. [As a Baltimore fan, I wanted to stop right there. But in fairness I had to take the next step.] The Seahawks faced a number of great offenses, including DEN (of course), NO (twice), ATL, IND, SF (3 times) and CAR. Accounting for strength of offensive schedule paints a different picture.

<snip>

BAL posted a -30 EPA vs NYG, holding their offense scoreless in the 2000 SB. Think about that for a second. That means the defense alone created 30 points of net score differential. TB posted -25 EPA vs OAK in the 2002 SB, but some of that was 'trash time' stuff. SEA notched just -16 EPA vs DEN, as its offense did the rest. Still, -16 is amazing against an offense that otherwise averaged +15 EPA per game.

It's just too bad we don't have the numbers prior to 1999. I'd love to see how defenses like the '85 Bears would rank, plus the 1914 Pottsville Maroons, and all the other great defenses I'm ignorant of. I'd also love to see how the sport as generally evolved across the decades.

Are the 2013 Seahawks defense the best ever? Of course not. Should they be in the conversation. Definitely not. Unless you're a sports talk radio host, then of course you put them in the conversation! Line 2, you're on the air...

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2014/02/2013-seahawks-defense-in-conversation.html

sssshhh....this game is not over yet. NRaleighLiberal Nov 2013 #1
Broncos have no defense out there without Rodgers-Cromartie. geek tragedy Nov 2013 #2
Nope, that goes to the Houston Oilers blowing it against Buffalo in Jan. 1993. TexasTowelie Nov 2013 #3
Warren Moon was another guy who put up huge numbers except when geek tragedy Nov 2013 #4
Every time this debate comes up pipi_k Nov 2013 #5
Brady is a top 5 of the modern era geek tragedy Nov 2013 #6
Pretty much... pipi_k Nov 2013 #8
Flacco is on his way, I think. geek tragedy Nov 2013 #10
Hey - where's Bart Starr? TBF Jan 2014 #12
I don't consider Starr to be of the modern era. geek tragedy Jan 2014 #13
I see - yes that makes sense. TBF Jan 2014 #14
I would take Favre over Starr any day. n/t Goblinmonger Jan 2014 #15
And here's some fighting words for you Goblinmonger Jan 2014 #16
Oh dear ... TBF Jan 2014 #17
He has numbers on his side Goblinmonger Jan 2014 #18
Let's not forget, brady is the only QB ever in NFL history, to be 100 games over .500 DrewFlorida Nov 2013 #7
I just read that pipi_k Nov 2013 #9
The interesting thing about the number of championships JonLP24 Jan 2014 #11
Thought I'd kick this for today's game fishwax Jan 2014 #19
Look for Brady to light them up, big time. geek tragedy Jan 2014 #20
Of course, what I meant to write is that with the injury to NE's top QB geek tragedy Jan 2014 #21
I was worried when Rodgers-Cromartie went down fishwax Jan 2014 #23
and I almost gagged when they showed horseface, elway, holding the AFC trophy..... a kennedy Jan 2014 #22
Kick. Should #18 just retire after this humiliation? nt geek tragedy Feb 2014 #24
Maybe if it was any other team JonLP24 Feb 2014 #25
Seahawks defense is good, but not THAT good. geek tragedy Feb 2014 #33
1 game on the road which was their second straight week JonLP24 Feb 2014 #35
They were certainly a great defense, but 85 geek tragedy Feb 2014 #36
I also add the 2002 Bucaneers JonLP24 Feb 2014 #37
Pssst...the Seahawks beat Brady, too.... Wounded Bear Feb 2014 #26
they did, but... pipi_k Feb 2014 #28
Brady kept the Pats in that game, as opposed to Pick-Six Peyton nt geek tragedy Feb 2014 #32
Tom Brady IS the better quarterback. Rockholm Feb 2014 #27
I saw Eli's face pipi_k Feb 2014 #29
Joeybee and I discussed this recently - TBF Feb 2014 #30
I wonder how much of it is Belichick. geek tragedy Feb 2014 #31
Maybe so - TBF Feb 2014 #34
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